Preoperative Predictors of Early Mortality Risk in People with Osteosarcoma of the Extremities Treated with Standard Therapy

PURPOSE: More precise identification of osteosarcoma patients with high early death risk and enhanced early follow-up of these patients, such as increasing the frequency of postoperative chest computed tomography (CT) and local magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examinations, may improve the overall survival of patients. The primary purpose of this research is to explore the risk factors related to early mortality in patients with osteosarcoma under standard treatment. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our research included 87 osteosarcoma patients who had undergone standard treatment and had a Karnofsky (KPS) ≥70. We define patients who die within 2 years of diagnosis as early death. The clinical characteristics and laboratory indicators of patients with osteosarcoma were collected and analyzed retrospectively. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 32 months (4–91 months). Early deaths occurred in 13 patients. Early death of patients with osteosarcoma is related to tumor metastasis (P < 0.001), tumor size >5cm (P = 0.049), high-level neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = 0.035), high-level fibrinogen (FIB) (P = 0.038), and higher D-dimer (DD) (P = 0.025). According to our results of multivariate Cox analysis, tumor metastasis status at diagnosis (P < 0.001), NLR (P = 0.039) and FIB (P = 0.023) are independent risk factors in predicting early mortality in osteosarcoma patients. The “Osteosarcoma Early Mortality Nomogram” has a C index of 0.871, and the calibration curve performs best compared with the ideal model in predicting mortality in 1 year. CONCLUSION: Tumor metastasis status, NLR, and FIB are independent risk factors in predicting early mortality in osteosarcoma patients. The early follow-up of patients with tumor metastasis, high NLR, and high FIB should be strengthened.