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A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic

Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon o...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Caperna, Giulio, Colagrossi, Marco, Geraci, Andrea, Mazzarella, Gianluca
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: North Holland 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8819719/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153384
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102097
Descripción
Sumario:Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon of interest, even in a cross-country setting. Queries are then aggregated in an indicator which can be used for causal inference. We apply this procedure to construct a search-based unemployment index and study the effect of lock-downs during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. In a Difference-in-Differences analysis, we show that the indicator rose significantly and persistently in the aftermath of lock-downs. This is not the case when using unprocessed (raw) web search data, which might return a partial figure of the labour market dynamics following lock-downs.