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A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic

Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon o...

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Autores principales: Caperna, Giulio, Colagrossi, Marco, Geraci, Andrea, Mazzarella, Gianluca
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: North Holland 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8819719/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153384
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102097
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author Caperna, Giulio
Colagrossi, Marco
Geraci, Andrea
Mazzarella, Gianluca
author_facet Caperna, Giulio
Colagrossi, Marco
Geraci, Andrea
Mazzarella, Gianluca
author_sort Caperna, Giulio
collection PubMed
description Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon of interest, even in a cross-country setting. Queries are then aggregated in an indicator which can be used for causal inference. We apply this procedure to construct a search-based unemployment index and study the effect of lock-downs during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. In a Difference-in-Differences analysis, we show that the indicator rose significantly and persistently in the aftermath of lock-downs. This is not the case when using unprocessed (raw) web search data, which might return a partial figure of the labour market dynamics following lock-downs.
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spelling pubmed-88197192022-02-11 A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic Caperna, Giulio Colagrossi, Marco Geraci, Andrea Mazzarella, Gianluca Labour Econ Article Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the phenomenon of interest, even in a cross-country setting. Queries are then aggregated in an indicator which can be used for causal inference. We apply this procedure to construct a search-based unemployment index and study the effect of lock-downs during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. In a Difference-in-Differences analysis, we show that the indicator rose significantly and persistently in the aftermath of lock-downs. This is not the case when using unprocessed (raw) web search data, which might return a partial figure of the labour market dynamics following lock-downs. North Holland 2022-01 /pmc/articles/PMC8819719/ /pubmed/35153384 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102097 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Caperna, Giulio
Colagrossi, Marco
Geraci, Andrea
Mazzarella, Gianluca
A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title_full A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title_fullStr A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title_full_unstemmed A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title_short A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic
title_sort babel of web-searches: googling unemployment during the pandemic
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8819719/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153384
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102097
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