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Overlapping timescales obscure early warning signals of the second COVID-19 wave

Early warning indicators based on critical slowing down have been suggested as a model-independent and low-cost tool to anticipate the (re)emergence of infectious diseases. We studied whether such indicators could reliably have anticipated the second COVID-19 wave in European countries. Contrary to...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dablander, Fabian, Heesterbeek, Hans, Borsboom, Denny, Drake, John M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8825995/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35135355
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.1809