Cargando…

Overlapping timescales obscure early warning signals of the second COVID-19 wave

Early warning indicators based on critical slowing down have been suggested as a model-independent and low-cost tool to anticipate the (re)emergence of infectious diseases. We studied whether such indicators could reliably have anticipated the second COVID-19 wave in European countries. Contrary to...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Dablander, Fabian, Heesterbeek, Hans, Borsboom, Denny, Drake, John M.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	The Royal Society 2022
Materias:	Ecology
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8825995/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35135355 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.1809

Ejemplares similares

Early warning signal reliability varies with COVID-19 waves
por: O'Brien, Duncan A., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Scientists’ warning of the impacts of climate change on mountains
por: Knight, Jasper
Publicado: (2022)

Increased functional diversity warns of ecological transition in the Arctic
por: Frainer, André, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Quantifying agent impacts on contact sequences in social interactions
por: Dekker, Mark M., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Appearance before performance? Nutritional constraints on life‐history traits, but not warning signal expression in aposematic moths
por: Lindstedt, Carita, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Ahead of the second wave: Early warning for COVID-19 by wastewater surveillance in Hungary
por: Róka, Eszter, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Early warning signals of malaria resurgence in Kericho, Kenya
por: Harris, Mallory J., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Data are inadequate to test whale falls as chemosynthetic stepping-stones using network analysis: faunal overlaps do support a stepping-stone role
por: Smith, Craig R., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Natural stable isotope ratios and fatty acid profiles of estuarine tidal flat nematodes reveal very limited niche overlap among co-occurring species
por: Wu, Xiuqin, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing
por: Drake, John M., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Timescales of water accumulation in magmas and implications for short warning times of explosive eruptions
por: Petrelli, M., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Thermal acclimation of tropical coral reef fishes to global heat waves
por: Johansen, Jacob L, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination
por: O’Regan, Suzanne M., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Between tide and wave marks: a unifying model of physical zonation on littoral shores
por: Bird, Christopher E., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Spectral-power associations reflect amplitude modulation and within-frequency interactions on the sub-second timescale and cross-frequency interactions on the seconds timescale
por: Menceloglu, Melisa, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Wandering albatrosses exert high take-off effort only when both wind and waves are gentle
por: Uesaka, Leo, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Experimental evidence for delayed post-conflict management behaviour in wild dwarf mongooses
por: Morris-Drake, Amy, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Protein-peptide association kinetics beyond the seconds timescale from atomistic simulations
por: Paul, Fabian, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Benthic communities at two remote Pacific coral reefs: effects of reef habitat, depth, and wave energy gradients on spatial patterns
por: Williams, Gareth J., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Mummified baboons reveal the far reach of early Egyptian mariners
por: Dominy, Nathaniel J, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

World scientists’ warning: The behavioural crisis driving ecological overshoot
por: Merz, Joseph J, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Eigenvalues of the covariance matrix as early warning signals for critical transitions in ecological systems
por: Chen, Shiyang, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Signal detectability and boldness are not the same: the function of defensive coloration in nudibranchs is distance-dependent
por: van den Berg, Cedric P., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

An Obscure Neurological Case Simulating Early Leprosy
por: Muir, E., et al.
Publicado: (1929)

High Time Resolution Astrophysics: The Universe at Sub-second Timescales
por: Phelan, Don, et al.
Publicado: (2008)

Intergenerational effects of early adversity on survival in wild baboons
por: Zipple, Matthew N, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

The timescale of early land plant evolution
por: Morris, Jennifer L., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Signal categorization by foraging animals depends on ecological diversity
por: Kikuchi, David William, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Freshwater connectivity transforms spatially integrated signals of biodiversity
por: Littlefair, Joanne E., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Socio-demographic, not environmental, risk factors explain fine-scale spatial patterns of diarrhoeal disease in Ifanadiana, rural Madagascar
por: Evans, Michelle V., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Fundamental Limits to the Precision of Early Warning Systems for Epidemics of Infectious Diseases
por: Drake, John M
Publicado: (2005)

Signaling cascades and the importance of moonlight in coral broadcast mass spawning
por: Kaniewska, Paulina, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Probabilistic early warning signals
por: Laitinen, Ville, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The role of stabilizing and communicating symptoms given overlapping communities in psychopathology networks
por: Blanken, Tessa F., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Experimental evaluation of the importance of colonization history in early-life gut microbiota assembly
por: Martínez, Inés, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Interacting effects of early dietary conditions and reproductive effort on the oxidative costs of reproduction
por: Noguera, Jose Carlos
Publicado: (2017)

Effects of silver-graphene oxide on seed germination and early growth of crop species
por: Kim, Min-Ji, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Early detection of wildlife morbidity and mortality through an event-based surveillance system
por: Kelly, Terra R., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Male density, a signal for population self-regulation in Alligator sinensis
por: Zhao, Lan, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Experimental conditions can obscure the second high-affinity site in LeuT
por: Quick, Matthias, et al.
Publicado: (2012)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_p9dr1d0l4mgsclshtdv0j9nid3