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Developing a crisis model based on higher-order moments
In this paper, the goal is to create a model for detecting a crisis situation using the example of financial time series. An analysis of fixed and cumulative central and raw moments has been carried out. When conducting the analysis by higher-order moments, it has been shown that the moments record...
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2022
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8841371/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35198767 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08896 |
| Sumario: | In this paper, the goal is to create a model for detecting a crisis situation using the example of financial time series. An analysis of fixed and cumulative central and raw moments has been carried out. When conducting the analysis by higher-order moments, it has been shown that the moments record the presence of deviations and extreme values in the distribution of the series. Based on the higher-order moments, a crisis indicator has been proposed. |
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