Global assessment improves risk stratification for major adverse cardiac events across a wide range of triglyceride levels: Insights from the KP REACH study

OBJECTIVE: Patients with risk factors for or established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remain at high risk for subsequent ischemic events despite statin therapy. Triglyceride (TG) levels may contribute to residual ASCVD risk, and the performance of global risk assessment calculators across a broad range of TG levels is unknown. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Northern California members aged ≥45 years with ≥1 ASCVD risk factor (primary prevention cohort) or established ASCVD (secondary prevention cohort) between 2010 and 2017 who were receiving statin therapy and had a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol between 41–100 mg/dL. Global ASCVD risk assessment was performed using both the Kaiser Permanente ASCVD Risk Estimator (KPARE) and the ACC/AHA ASCVD Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE). Outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease, and expanded MACE (MACE + coronary revascularization + hospitalization for unstable angina). RESULTS: Among 373,389 patients in the primary prevention cohort, median TG was 122 mg/dL (IQR 88–172 mg/dL) and there were 0.2 MACE events and 0.3 expanded MACE events per 100-person years. Among 97,832 patients in the secondary prevention cohort, median TG level was 116 mg/dL (IQR 84–164 mg/dL) and there were 9.6 MACE events and 22.0 expanded MACE events per 100-person years. KPARE and the ACC/AHA PCE stratified patients for MACE and expanded MACE over the entire range of TGs. CONCLUSION: In a cohort receiving statin therapy for primary or secondary prevention, we found global assessment further improves risk stratification for initial and/or recurrent ASCVD events irrespective of baseline TG level.