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Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention

In this paper, we have considered a deterministic mathematical model to analyze effective interventions for meningitis and pneumonia coinfection as well as to make a rational recommendation to public healthy, policy or decision makers and programs implementers. We have introduced the epidemiology of...

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Autores principales: kotola, Belela Samuel, Mekonnen, Temesgen Tibebu
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8850616/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35173209
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-06253-0
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author kotola, Belela Samuel
Mekonnen, Temesgen Tibebu
author_facet kotola, Belela Samuel
Mekonnen, Temesgen Tibebu
author_sort kotola, Belela Samuel
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we have considered a deterministic mathematical model to analyze effective interventions for meningitis and pneumonia coinfection as well as to make a rational recommendation to public healthy, policy or decision makers and programs implementers. We have introduced the epidemiology of infectious diseases, the epidemiology of meningitis, the epidemiology of pneumonia, and the epidemiology of infection of meningitis and pneumonia. The positivity and boundedness of the sated model was shown. Our model elucidate that, the disease free equilibrium points of each model are locally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are less than one and globally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are greater than one. Additionally, we have analyzed the existence and uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium point of each sub models, local stability and global stability of the endemic equilibrium points for each model. By using standard values of parameters we have obtained from different studies, we found that the effective reproduction numbers of meningitis [Formula: see text] and effective reproduction numbers of pneumonia [Formula: see text] that lead us to the effective reproduction number of the meningitis and pneumonia co-infected model is [Formula: see text] . Applying sensitivity analysis, we identified the most influential parameters that can change the behavior of the solution of the meningitis pneumonia coinfection dynamical system are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] . Biologically, decrease in [Formula: see text] and increasing in [Formula: see text] is a possible intervention strategy to reduce the infectious from communities. Finally, our numerical simulation has shown that vaccination against those diseases, reducing contact with infectious persons and treatment have the great effect on reduction of these silent killer diseases from the communities.
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spelling pubmed-88506162022-02-18 Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention kotola, Belela Samuel Mekonnen, Temesgen Tibebu Sci Rep Article In this paper, we have considered a deterministic mathematical model to analyze effective interventions for meningitis and pneumonia coinfection as well as to make a rational recommendation to public healthy, policy or decision makers and programs implementers. We have introduced the epidemiology of infectious diseases, the epidemiology of meningitis, the epidemiology of pneumonia, and the epidemiology of infection of meningitis and pneumonia. The positivity and boundedness of the sated model was shown. Our model elucidate that, the disease free equilibrium points of each model are locally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are less than one and globally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are greater than one. Additionally, we have analyzed the existence and uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium point of each sub models, local stability and global stability of the endemic equilibrium points for each model. By using standard values of parameters we have obtained from different studies, we found that the effective reproduction numbers of meningitis [Formula: see text] and effective reproduction numbers of pneumonia [Formula: see text] that lead us to the effective reproduction number of the meningitis and pneumonia co-infected model is [Formula: see text] . Applying sensitivity analysis, we identified the most influential parameters that can change the behavior of the solution of the meningitis pneumonia coinfection dynamical system are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] . Biologically, decrease in [Formula: see text] and increasing in [Formula: see text] is a possible intervention strategy to reduce the infectious from communities. Finally, our numerical simulation has shown that vaccination against those diseases, reducing contact with infectious persons and treatment have the great effect on reduction of these silent killer diseases from the communities. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-02-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8850616/ /pubmed/35173209 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-06253-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
kotola, Belela Samuel
Mekonnen, Temesgen Tibebu
Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title_full Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title_fullStr Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title_short Mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
title_sort mathematical model analysis and numerical simulation for codynamics of meningitis and pneumonia infection with intervention
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8850616/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35173209
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-06253-0
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