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Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble alg...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Netherlands
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8853269/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35194413 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7 |
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author | Coskun, Yener Pitros, Charalambos |
author_facet | Coskun, Yener Pitros, Charalambos |
author_sort | Coskun, Yener |
collection | PubMed |
description | The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble algorithmic model. The empirical results reveal that the Turkish housing market was in a bubble during 2013–2017 period, the peak/last year of the bubble is the year 2017 and that the bubble-bust occurred in 2018. The foremost contribution of this study is that it is the first to document a historical housing bubble episode for Turkey using the premises of irrational bubble theory and the first to apply an algorithmic approach to assess the bubble risk for the period of 2006 and 2018. As to the implications, this documented model may be used as a tool to enhance policymakers' knowledge toward the early identification of housing bubbles. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8853269 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-88532692022-02-18 Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? Coskun, Yener Pitros, Charalambos J Hous Built Environ Article The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble algorithmic model. The empirical results reveal that the Turkish housing market was in a bubble during 2013–2017 period, the peak/last year of the bubble is the year 2017 and that the bubble-bust occurred in 2018. The foremost contribution of this study is that it is the first to document a historical housing bubble episode for Turkey using the premises of irrational bubble theory and the first to apply an algorithmic approach to assess the bubble risk for the period of 2006 and 2018. As to the implications, this documented model may be used as a tool to enhance policymakers' knowledge toward the early identification of housing bubbles. Springer Netherlands 2022-02-17 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8853269/ /pubmed/35194413 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022, corrected publication 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Coskun, Yener Pitros, Charalambos Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title | Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title_full | Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title_fullStr | Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title_full_unstemmed | Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title_short | Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? |
title_sort | is there a bubbly euphoria in the turkish housing market? |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8853269/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35194413 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT coskunyener isthereabubblyeuphoriaintheturkishhousingmarket AT pitroscharalambos isthereabubblyeuphoriaintheturkishhousingmarket |