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Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?

The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble alg...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Coskun, Yener, Pitros, Charalambos
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8853269/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35194413
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7
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author Coskun, Yener
Pitros, Charalambos
author_facet Coskun, Yener
Pitros, Charalambos
author_sort Coskun, Yener
collection PubMed
description The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble algorithmic model. The empirical results reveal that the Turkish housing market was in a bubble during 2013–2017 period, the peak/last year of the bubble is the year 2017 and that the bubble-bust occurred in 2018. The foremost contribution of this study is that it is the first to document a historical housing bubble episode for Turkey using the premises of irrational bubble theory and the first to apply an algorithmic approach to assess the bubble risk for the period of 2006 and 2018. As to the implications, this documented model may be used as a tool to enhance policymakers' knowledge toward the early identification of housing bubbles.
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spelling pubmed-88532692022-02-18 Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market? Coskun, Yener Pitros, Charalambos J Hous Built Environ Article The purpose of this paper is to examine whether there is a bubble in the Turkish housing market during the period of 2006–2018. In conjunction with the irrational bubble theory, this study applies the Pitros and Arayici (Int J Hous Mark Anal 9(2):190-221, 2016. 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2015-0002) bubble algorithmic model. The empirical results reveal that the Turkish housing market was in a bubble during 2013–2017 period, the peak/last year of the bubble is the year 2017 and that the bubble-bust occurred in 2018. The foremost contribution of this study is that it is the first to document a historical housing bubble episode for Turkey using the premises of irrational bubble theory and the first to apply an algorithmic approach to assess the bubble risk for the period of 2006 and 2018. As to the implications, this documented model may be used as a tool to enhance policymakers' knowledge toward the early identification of housing bubbles. Springer Netherlands 2022-02-17 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8853269/ /pubmed/35194413 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022, corrected publication 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Coskun, Yener
Pitros, Charalambos
Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title_full Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title_fullStr Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title_full_unstemmed Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title_short Is there a bubbly euphoria in the Turkish housing market?
title_sort is there a bubbly euphoria in the turkish housing market?
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8853269/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35194413
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-022-09931-7
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