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Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network

Stock market prices are known to be very volatile and noisy, and their accurate forecasting is a challenging problem. Traditionally, both linear and non-linear methods (such as ARIMA and LSTM) have been proposed and successfully applied to stock market prediction, but there is room to develop models...

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Autor principal: Staffini, Alessio
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8856607/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35187477
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/frai.2022.837596
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author Staffini, Alessio
author_facet Staffini, Alessio
author_sort Staffini, Alessio
collection PubMed
description Stock market prices are known to be very volatile and noisy, and their accurate forecasting is a challenging problem. Traditionally, both linear and non-linear methods (such as ARIMA and LSTM) have been proposed and successfully applied to stock market prediction, but there is room to develop models that further reduce the forecast error. In this paper, we introduce a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN) architecture to deal with the problem of forecasting the closing price of stocks. To test the empirical performance of our proposed model we use the FTSE MIB (Financial Times Stock Exchange Milano Indice di Borsa), the benchmark stock market index for the Italian national stock exchange. By conducting both single-step and multi-step forecasting, we observe that our proposed model performs better than standard widely used tools, suggesting that Deep Learning (and in particular GANs) is a promising field for financial time series forecasting.
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spelling pubmed-88566072022-02-19 Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network Staffini, Alessio Front Artif Intell Artificial Intelligence Stock market prices are known to be very volatile and noisy, and their accurate forecasting is a challenging problem. Traditionally, both linear and non-linear methods (such as ARIMA and LSTM) have been proposed and successfully applied to stock market prediction, but there is room to develop models that further reduce the forecast error. In this paper, we introduce a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN) architecture to deal with the problem of forecasting the closing price of stocks. To test the empirical performance of our proposed model we use the FTSE MIB (Financial Times Stock Exchange Milano Indice di Borsa), the benchmark stock market index for the Italian national stock exchange. By conducting both single-step and multi-step forecasting, we observe that our proposed model performs better than standard widely used tools, suggesting that Deep Learning (and in particular GANs) is a promising field for financial time series forecasting. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-02-04 /pmc/articles/PMC8856607/ /pubmed/35187477 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/frai.2022.837596 Text en Copyright © 2022 Staffini. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Artificial Intelligence
Staffini, Alessio
Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title_full Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title_fullStr Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title_full_unstemmed Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title_short Stock Price Forecasting by a Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network
title_sort stock price forecasting by a deep convolutional generative adversarial network
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8856607/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35187477
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/frai.2022.837596
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