Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases

In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vacci...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Traini, Marco Claudio, Caponi, Carla
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Perspective
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8857758/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35720140
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.02.006
Descripción
Sumario:In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vaccination campaign, a comparison of those predictions with the actual data is mandatory. Surprising evidences emerge suggesting new strategies to consider regarding the spread of the virus and to protect frail people. After several months of the immunization campaign in Italy, it is estimated that approximately 20 000 deaths were avoided during the year 2021.

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