Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases

In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vacci...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Traini, Marco Claudio, Caponi, Carla
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Perspective
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8857758/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35720140
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.02.006
_version_ 1784654107354595328
author Traini, Marco Claudio
Caponi, Carla
author_facet Traini, Marco Claudio
Caponi, Carla
author_sort Traini, Marco Claudio
collection PubMed
description In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vaccination campaign, a comparison of those predictions with the actual data is mandatory. Surprising evidences emerge suggesting new strategies to consider regarding the spread of the virus and to protect frail people. After several months of the immunization campaign in Italy, it is estimated that approximately 20 000 deaths were avoided during the year 2021.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8857758
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Elsevier
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-88577582022-02-22 Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases Traini, Marco Claudio Caponi, Carla IJID Reg Perspective In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vaccination campaign, a comparison of those predictions with the actual data is mandatory. Surprising evidences emerge suggesting new strategies to consider regarding the spread of the virus and to protect frail people. After several months of the immunization campaign in Italy, it is estimated that approximately 20 000 deaths were avoided during the year 2021. Elsevier 2022-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC8857758/ /pubmed/35720140 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.02.006 Text en © 2022 The Author(s) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Perspective
Traini, Marco Claudio
Caponi, Carla
Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title_full Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title_fullStr Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title_full_unstemmed Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title_short Modelling the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign in Italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
title_sort modelling the sars-cov-2 vaccination campaign in italy: the fundamental role of unreported cases
topic Perspective
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8857758/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35720140
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.02.006
work_keys_str_mv AT trainimarcoclaudio modellingthesarscov2vaccinationcampaigninitalythefundamentalroleofunreportedcases
AT caponicarla modellingthesarscov2vaccinationcampaigninitalythefundamentalroleofunreportedcases

Ejemplares similares