Structural factors contributing to SARS-CoV-2 infection risk in the urban slum setting

BACKGROUND: The structural environment of urban slums, including physical, demographic and socioeconomic attributes, renders inhabitants more vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Yet, little is known about the specific determinants that contribute to high transmission within these communities. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We performed a serosurvey of an established cohort of 2,035 urban slum residents from the city of Salvador, Brazil between November 2020 and February 2021, following the first COVID-19 pandemic wave in the country. We identified high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence (46.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 44.3–48.6%), particularly among female residents (48.7% [95% CI 45.9–51.6%] vs. 43.2% [95% CI 39.8–46.6%] among male residents), and among children (56.5% [95% CI 52.3–60.5%] vs. 42.4% [95% CI 39.9–45.0%] among adults). In multivariable models that accounted for household-level clustering, the odds ratio for SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity among children was 1.96 (95% CI 1.42–2.72) compared to adults aged 30–44 years. Adults residing in households with children were more likely to be seropositive; this effect was particularly prominent among individuals with age 30–44 and 60 years or more. Women living below the poverty threshold (daily per capita household income <$1.25) and those who were unemployed were more likely to be seropositive. CONCLUSIONS: During a single wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, cumulative incidence as assessed by serology approached 50% in a Brazilian urban slum population. In contrast to observations from industrialized countries, SARS-CoV-2 incidence was highest among children, as well as women living in extreme poverty. These findings emphasize the need for targeted interventions that provide safe environments for children and mitigate the structural risks posed by crowding and poverty for the most vulnerable residents of urban slum communities.