Cargando…

Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China

In the context of climate change, most of the global regions are facing the threat of high temperature. Influenced by tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific Ocean, high temperatures are more likely to occur in central China, and the economic losses caused by heat are in urgent need of quanti...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Chen, Si, Zhao, Junrui, Lee, Soo-Beom, Kim, Seong Wook
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888530/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35252103
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.839204
_version_ 1784661175098671104
author Chen, Si
Zhao, Junrui
Lee, Soo-Beom
Kim, Seong Wook
author_facet Chen, Si
Zhao, Junrui
Lee, Soo-Beom
Kim, Seong Wook
author_sort Chen, Si
collection PubMed
description In the context of climate change, most of the global regions are facing the threat of high temperature. Influenced by tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific Ocean, high temperatures are more likely to occur in central China, and the economic losses caused by heat are in urgent need of quantification to form the basis for health decisions. In order to study the economic burden of high temperature on the health of Wuhan residents between 2013 and 2019, we employed meta-analysis and the value of statistical life (VSL) approach to calculate the relative risk of high temperature health endpoints, the number of premature deaths, and the corresponding economic losses in Wuhan City, China. The results suggested that the pooled estimates of relative risk of death from high temperature health endpoints was 1.26 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15, 1.39]. The average number of premature deaths caused by high temperature was estimated to be 77,369 (95% CI: 48,906–105,198) during 2013–2019, and the induced economic losses were 156.1 billion RMB (95% CI: 92.28–211.40 billion RMB), accounting for 1.81% (95% CI: 1.14–2.45%) of Wuhan's annual GDP in the seven-year period. It can be seen that high temperature drives an increase in the premature deaths, and the influence of high temperature on human health results in an economic burden on the health system and population in Wuhan City. It is necessary for the decision-makers to take measures to reduce the risk of premature death and the proportion of economic loss of residents under the impacts of climate change.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8888530
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-88885302022-03-03 Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China Chen, Si Zhao, Junrui Lee, Soo-Beom Kim, Seong Wook Front Public Health Public Health In the context of climate change, most of the global regions are facing the threat of high temperature. Influenced by tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific Ocean, high temperatures are more likely to occur in central China, and the economic losses caused by heat are in urgent need of quantification to form the basis for health decisions. In order to study the economic burden of high temperature on the health of Wuhan residents between 2013 and 2019, we employed meta-analysis and the value of statistical life (VSL) approach to calculate the relative risk of high temperature health endpoints, the number of premature deaths, and the corresponding economic losses in Wuhan City, China. The results suggested that the pooled estimates of relative risk of death from high temperature health endpoints was 1.26 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15, 1.39]. The average number of premature deaths caused by high temperature was estimated to be 77,369 (95% CI: 48,906–105,198) during 2013–2019, and the induced economic losses were 156.1 billion RMB (95% CI: 92.28–211.40 billion RMB), accounting for 1.81% (95% CI: 1.14–2.45%) of Wuhan's annual GDP in the seven-year period. It can be seen that high temperature drives an increase in the premature deaths, and the influence of high temperature on human health results in an economic burden on the health system and population in Wuhan City. It is necessary for the decision-makers to take measures to reduce the risk of premature death and the proportion of economic loss of residents under the impacts of climate change. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-02-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8888530/ /pubmed/35252103 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.839204 Text en Copyright © 2022 Chen, Zhao, Lee and Kim. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Public Health
Chen, Si
Zhao, Junrui
Lee, Soo-Beom
Kim, Seong Wook
Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title_full Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title_fullStr Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title_short Estimation of Relative Risk of Mortality and Economic Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Wuhan, China
title_sort estimation of relative risk of mortality and economic burden attributable to high temperature in wuhan, china
topic Public Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888530/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35252103
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.839204
work_keys_str_mv AT chensi estimationofrelativeriskofmortalityandeconomicburdenattributabletohightemperatureinwuhanchina
AT zhaojunrui estimationofrelativeriskofmortalityandeconomicburdenattributabletohightemperatureinwuhanchina
AT leesoobeom estimationofrelativeriskofmortalityandeconomicburdenattributabletohightemperatureinwuhanchina
AT kimseongwook estimationofrelativeriskofmortalityandeconomicburdenattributabletohightemperatureinwuhanchina