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Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions
It is well established that a collapse or strong reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) would substantially cool the northern high latitudes. Here we show that there is a possibility that such cooling could be amplified under deliberate CO(2) removal and result in a temp...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888562/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35232955 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5 |
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author | Schwinger, Jörg Asaadi, Ali Goris, Nadine Lee, Hanna |
author_facet | Schwinger, Jörg Asaadi, Ali Goris, Nadine Lee, Hanna |
author_sort | Schwinger, Jörg |
collection | PubMed |
description | It is well established that a collapse or strong reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) would substantially cool the northern high latitudes. Here we show that there is a possibility that such cooling could be amplified under deliberate CO(2) removal and result in a temporary undershoot of a targeted temperature level. We find this behaviour in Earth system models that show a strong AMOC decline in response to anthropogenic forcing. Idealized simulations of CO(2) removal with one of these models indicate that the timing of negative emissions relative to AMOC decline and recovery is key in setting the strength of the temporary cooling. We show that the pronounced temperature-fluctuations at high northern latitudes found in these simulations would entail considerable consequences for sea-ice and permafrost extent as well as for high latitude ecosystems. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8888562 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-88885622022-03-17 Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions Schwinger, Jörg Asaadi, Ali Goris, Nadine Lee, Hanna Nat Commun Article It is well established that a collapse or strong reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) would substantially cool the northern high latitudes. Here we show that there is a possibility that such cooling could be amplified under deliberate CO(2) removal and result in a temporary undershoot of a targeted temperature level. We find this behaviour in Earth system models that show a strong AMOC decline in response to anthropogenic forcing. Idealized simulations of CO(2) removal with one of these models indicate that the timing of negative emissions relative to AMOC decline and recovery is key in setting the strength of the temporary cooling. We show that the pronounced temperature-fluctuations at high northern latitudes found in these simulations would entail considerable consequences for sea-ice and permafrost extent as well as for high latitude ecosystems. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-03-01 /pmc/articles/PMC8888562/ /pubmed/35232955 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Schwinger, Jörg Asaadi, Ali Goris, Nadine Lee, Hanna Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title | Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title_full | Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title_fullStr | Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title_full_unstemmed | Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title_short | Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
title_sort | possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8888562/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35232955 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5 |
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