Cargando…
Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8
We propose a nowcasting approach for indicators assigned to the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8, calling for decent work and economic growth. The nowcasts of SDG indicators are based on dynamic factor models. In this mixed frequency framework, we exploit information from a comprehensive set of...
Autores principales: | , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2022
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8890028/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35505948 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09533-0 |
_version_ | 1784661542697959424 |
---|---|
author | Bilek-Steindl, Sandra Url, Thomas |
author_facet | Bilek-Steindl, Sandra Url, Thomas |
author_sort | Bilek-Steindl, Sandra |
collection | PubMed |
description | We propose a nowcasting approach for indicators assigned to the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8, calling for decent work and economic growth. The nowcasts of SDG indicators are based on dynamic factor models. In this mixed frequency framework, we exploit information from a comprehensive set of quarterly data to nowcast annually observed SDG indicators. For the model selection and specification search we evaluate the nowcast properties of the models based on a pseudo real-time data set. More recent information on SDGs can disclose a possible deviation from the desired path at an early stage. As an example, we present nowcasts for SDG objectives in Austria for the year 2020. The design of our assessment follows the method and quantitative rules suggested by Eurostat. SDG 8 indicators are highly related to the underlying economic situation and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are clearly visible in the results for 2020. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8890028 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-88900282022-03-04 Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 Bilek-Steindl, Sandra Url, Thomas Empirica Original Paper We propose a nowcasting approach for indicators assigned to the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 8, calling for decent work and economic growth. The nowcasts of SDG indicators are based on dynamic factor models. In this mixed frequency framework, we exploit information from a comprehensive set of quarterly data to nowcast annually observed SDG indicators. For the model selection and specification search we evaluate the nowcast properties of the models based on a pseudo real-time data set. More recent information on SDGs can disclose a possible deviation from the desired path at an early stage. As an example, we present nowcasts for SDG objectives in Austria for the year 2020. The design of our assessment follows the method and quantitative rules suggested by Eurostat. SDG 8 indicators are highly related to the underlying economic situation and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are clearly visible in the results for 2020. Springer US 2022-03-02 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8890028/ /pubmed/35505948 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09533-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Original Paper Bilek-Steindl, Sandra Url, Thomas Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title | Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title_full | Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title_fullStr | Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title_full_unstemmed | Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title_short | Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8 |
title_sort | nowcasting and monitoring sdg 8 |
topic | Original Paper |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8890028/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35505948 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09533-0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bileksteindlsandra nowcastingandmonitoringsdg8 AT urlthomas nowcastingandmonitoringsdg8 |