An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models

A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model....

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: MAKI, Koichiro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Japan Academy 2022
Materias:
Original Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8890995/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153271
http://dx.doi.org/10.2183/pjab.98.006
Descripción
Sumario:A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model. In addition, the data on the ratio of transfer to delta variants could also be simulated. It is anticipated that this interpretation will be a basis for the development of forecasting methods.

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