An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models

A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model....

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: MAKI, Koichiro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Japan Academy 2022
Materias:
Original Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8890995/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153271
http://dx.doi.org/10.2183/pjab.98.006
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author MAKI, Koichiro
author_facet MAKI, Koichiro
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description A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model. In addition, the data on the ratio of transfer to delta variants could also be simulated. It is anticipated that this interpretation will be a basis for the development of forecasting methods.
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spelling pubmed-88909952022-03-09 An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models MAKI, Koichiro Proc Jpn Acad Ser B Phys Biol Sci Original Article A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model. In addition, the data on the ratio of transfer to delta variants could also be simulated. It is anticipated that this interpretation will be a basis for the development of forecasting methods. The Japan Academy 2022-02-10 /pmc/articles/PMC8890995/ /pubmed/35153271 http://dx.doi.org/10.2183/pjab.98.006 Text en © 2022 The Author(s). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/Published under the terms of the CC BY-NC license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.
spellingShingle Original Article
MAKI, Koichiro
An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title_full An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title_fullStr An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title_full_unstemmed An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title_short An interpretation of COVID-19 in Tokyo using a combination of SIR models
title_sort interpretation of covid-19 in tokyo using a combination of sir models
topic Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8890995/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35153271
http://dx.doi.org/10.2183/pjab.98.006
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