Dosimetric parameters and absolute monocyte count can predict the prognosis of acute hematologic toxicity in cervical cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemotherapy and volumetric-modulated arc therapy

PURPOSE: To explore clinical and dosimetric predictors of acute hematologic toxicity (HT) in cervical cancer patients treated with concurrent chemotherapy and volumetric-modulated arc therapy (VMAT). METHODS AND MATERIALS: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of 184 cervical cancer patients who had concurrent chemotherapy and VMAT. Hematological parameters were collected during the treatment period. The total pelvic bone (TPB) was delineated retrospectively for dose-volume calculations. To compare the differences between two groups, the normality test findings were used to run a paired-samples t-test or Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Pearson's correlation analysis or Spearman's correlation was used to testing the correlation between the two variables. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to analyze associations between HT and possible risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC) was used to evaluate the best cut-off point for dosimetric planning constraints. RESULTS: The nadir of absolute monocyte count (AMC) was found to be positively correlated with the nadir of absolute white blood cells (WBC) count (r = 0.5378, 95% CI 0.4227–0.6357, P < 0.0001) and the nadir of absolute neutrophil count(ANC) (r = 0.5000, 95% CI 0.3794–0.6039, P < 0.0001). The AMC decreased and increased before the ANC and WBC. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the chemotherapy regimens and the TPB_V20 were independent risk factors for developing grade ≥ 3 HT. The optimal TPB_V20 cut-off value identified by ROC curves and the Youden test was 71% (AUC = 0.788; 95% CI 0.722–0.845; P value < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The changing trend of AMC can be used as an effective predictor for the timing and severity of the ANC/WBC nadirs and prophylactic G-CSF administration. Maintain TPB_V20 < 71% and selecting single-agent cisplatin or carboplatin could significantly reduce grade ≥ 3 HT in cervical cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy.