Cargando…

Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters

This paper analyses how fiscal stimulus spending in response to the COVID-19 pandemic supports the low-carbon transition. We developed a new framework to categorise rescue and recovery spending measures according to their level of greenness and their type of expected impact on greenhouse gas emissio...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hans, Frederic, Woollands, Santiago, Nascimento, Leonardo, Höhne, Niklas, Kuramochi, Takeshi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8900090/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9
_version_ 1784664036664672256
author Hans, Frederic
Woollands, Santiago
Nascimento, Leonardo
Höhne, Niklas
Kuramochi, Takeshi
author_facet Hans, Frederic
Woollands, Santiago
Nascimento, Leonardo
Höhne, Niklas
Kuramochi, Takeshi
author_sort Hans, Frederic
collection PubMed
description This paper analyses how fiscal stimulus spending in response to the COVID-19 pandemic supports the low-carbon transition. We developed a new framework to categorise rescue and recovery spending measures according to their level of greenness and their type of expected impact on greenhouse gas emissions. This framework allows to better capture how measures’ emission impacts may unfold over time and to identify the share of fiscal spending missing robust conditions or incentives to be considered low carbon. We assess nearly 2500 measures announced by 26 emitters as of May 2021, representing around 67% of global GHG emissions excluding land use in 2019. Our findings show that the largest share (35%) of spending with potential GHG emission implications went to measures that cannot be explicitly coded as high-carbon or low-carbon but substantiate current business-as-usual practice (‘supporting the status quo’). Our assessment reveals the different magnitudes to which the emitters have missed the opportunity for a green recovery. Low-carbon spending is sizeable (22%) across countries. However, almost two-thirds will likely rather unfold its impact over time. This fiscal spending may trigger emissions reductions through enabling or catalytic causal effects over time but will not necessarily lead to direct emission reduction impacts before 2030. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8900090
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Nature Publishing Group UK
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-89000902022-03-07 Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters Hans, Frederic Woollands, Santiago Nascimento, Leonardo Höhne, Niklas Kuramochi, Takeshi Clim Action Article This paper analyses how fiscal stimulus spending in response to the COVID-19 pandemic supports the low-carbon transition. We developed a new framework to categorise rescue and recovery spending measures according to their level of greenness and their type of expected impact on greenhouse gas emissions. This framework allows to better capture how measures’ emission impacts may unfold over time and to identify the share of fiscal spending missing robust conditions or incentives to be considered low carbon. We assess nearly 2500 measures announced by 26 emitters as of May 2021, representing around 67% of global GHG emissions excluding land use in 2019. Our findings show that the largest share (35%) of spending with potential GHG emission implications went to measures that cannot be explicitly coded as high-carbon or low-carbon but substantiate current business-as-usual practice (‘supporting the status quo’). Our assessment reveals the different magnitudes to which the emitters have missed the opportunity for a green recovery. Low-carbon spending is sizeable (22%) across countries. However, almost two-thirds will likely rather unfold its impact over time. This fiscal spending may trigger emissions reductions through enabling or catalytic causal effects over time but will not necessarily lead to direct emission reduction impacts before 2030. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-03-07 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8900090/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) ) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
spellingShingle Article
Hans, Frederic
Woollands, Santiago
Nascimento, Leonardo
Höhne, Niklas
Kuramochi, Takeshi
Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title_full Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title_fullStr Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title_full_unstemmed Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title_short Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
title_sort unpacking the covid-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8900090/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9
work_keys_str_mv AT hansfrederic unpackingthecovid19rescueandrecoveryspendinganassessmentofimplicationsongreenhousegasemissionstowards2030forkeyemitters
AT woollandssantiago unpackingthecovid19rescueandrecoveryspendinganassessmentofimplicationsongreenhousegasemissionstowards2030forkeyemitters
AT nascimentoleonardo unpackingthecovid19rescueandrecoveryspendinganassessmentofimplicationsongreenhousegasemissionstowards2030forkeyemitters
AT hohneniklas unpackingthecovid19rescueandrecoveryspendinganassessmentofimplicationsongreenhousegasemissionstowards2030forkeyemitters
AT kuramochitakeshi unpackingthecovid19rescueandrecoveryspendinganassessmentofimplicationsongreenhousegasemissionstowards2030forkeyemitters