Association of triglyceride-glucose index and stroke recurrence among nondiabetic patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUD AND PURPOSE: Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been considered a surrogate marker of insulin resistance. We investigated the association between TyG index and stroke recurrence and compared the effectiveness of TyG index with homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in predicting stroke recurrence and death in nondiabetic acute ischemic stroke patients. METHODS: Nondiabetic acute ischemic stroke patients from the ACROSS-China (Abnormal Glucose Regulation in Patients with Acute Stroke across China) registry were included. TyG index was performed and classified into four groups by quartiles. The outcomes were stroke recurrence and death within 1 year. The association between TyG index and the risk of stroke recurrence and death were analyzed by Cox regression models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the prediction of TyG index and HOMA-IR for stroke recurrence and death. Delong test was used for comparing the differences between area under the curve (AUC) of TyG index and HOMA-IR. RESULTS: Among the 1226 patients included, the median (interquartile range) of TyG index was 5.8 (5.5–6.2). Both the third and fourth quartiles of TyG index were associated with an increased risk of stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio 2.04, 95% confidence interval 1.26–3.31; adjusted hazard ratio 1.86, 95% confidence interval 1.13–3.06). Patients with fourth quartiles of TyG index were associated with a higher mortality risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.91; 95% confidence interval, 1.62–2.53). Regarding stroke recurrence within 1 year, the AUC (95% confidence interval) of the ROC curve for the TyG index was similar to that of the HOMA-IR[0.56 (0.52–0.61) vs 0.57 (0.52–0.61); P = 0.93]. Regarding death within 1 year, the AUCs (95% confidence interval) of the ROC curve for the TyG index and HOMA-IR were 0.55 (0.50–0.61) and 0.59 (0.53–0.64), respectively (P = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated TyG index was associated with an increased risk of stroke recurrence and death. However, neither of TyG nor HOMA-IR can be a qualified predictor of stroke recurrence and death in nondiabetic acute ischemic stroke patients. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-022-02588-3.