Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine developmen...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Abernethy, Gavin M., Glass, David H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2022
Materias:
Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8905176/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35259954
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896
Descripción
Sumario:An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.

Ejemplares similares