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Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine developmen...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8905176/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35259954 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896 |
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author | Abernethy, Gavin M. Glass, David H. |
author_facet | Abernethy, Gavin M. Glass, David H. |
author_sort | Abernethy, Gavin M. |
collection | PubMed |
description | An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8905176 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | The Royal Society |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89051762022-03-15 Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland Abernethy, Gavin M. Glass, David H. J R Soc Interface Life Sciences–Mathematics interface An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths. The Royal Society 2022-03-09 /pmc/articles/PMC8905176/ /pubmed/35259954 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896 Text en © 2022 The Authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Life Sciences–Mathematics interface Abernethy, Gavin M. Glass, David H. Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title | Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title_full | Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title_fullStr | Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title_full_unstemmed | Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title_short | Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland |
title_sort | optimal covid-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured seir model of northern ireland |
topic | Life Sciences–Mathematics interface |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8905176/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35259954 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896 |
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