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Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine developmen...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Abernethy, Gavin M., Glass, David H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8905176/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35259954
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896
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author Abernethy, Gavin M.
Glass, David H.
author_facet Abernethy, Gavin M.
Glass, David H.
author_sort Abernethy, Gavin M.
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description An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.
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spelling pubmed-89051762022-03-15 Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland Abernethy, Gavin M. Glass, David H. J R Soc Interface Life Sciences–Mathematics interface An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths. The Royal Society 2022-03-09 /pmc/articles/PMC8905176/ /pubmed/35259954 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896 Text en © 2022 The Authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Abernethy, Gavin M.
Glass, David H.
Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title_full Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title_fullStr Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title_full_unstemmed Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title_short Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
title_sort optimal covid-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured seir model of northern ireland
topic Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8905176/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35259954
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896
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