An Immune-Related Gene Pair Index Predicts Clinical Response and Survival Outcome of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Melanoma

The durable responses and favorable long-term outcomes are limited to a proportion of advanced melanoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Considering the critical role of antitumor immunity status in the regulation of ICI therapy responsiveness, we focused on the immune-related gene profiles and aimed to develop an individualized immune signature for predicting the benefit of ICI therapy. During the discovery phase, we integrated three published datasets of metastatic melanoma treated with anti-PD-1 (n = 120) and established an immune-related gene pair index (IRGPI) for patient classification. The IRGPI was constructed based on 31 immune-related gene pairs (IRGPs) consisting of 51 immune-related genes (IRGs). The ROC curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of IRGPI with AUC = 0.854. Then, we retrospectively collected one anti-PD-1 therapy dataset of metastatic melanoma (n = 55) from Peking University Cancer Hospital (PUCH) and performed the whole-transcriptome RNA sequencing. Combined with another published dataset of metastatic melanoma received anti-CTLA-4 (VanAllen15; n = 42), we further validated the prediction accuracy of IRGPI for ICI therapy in two datasets (PUCH and VanAllen15) with AUCs of 0.737 and 0.767, respectively. Notably, the survival analyses revealed that higher IRGPI conferred poor survival outcomes in both the discovery and validation datasets. Moreover, correlation analyses of IRGPI with the immune cell infiltration and biological functions indicated that IRGPI may be an indicator of the immune status of the tumor microenvironment (TME). These findings demonstrated that IRGPI might serve as a novel marker for treating of melanoma with ICI, which needs to be validated in prospective clinical trials.