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Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks

We present the pair approximation models for susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) epidemic dynamics in a sparse network based on a regular network. Two processes are considered, namely, a Markovian process with a constant recovery rate and a non-Markovian process with a fixed recovery time. We deriv...

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Autores principales: Kuga, Kazuki, Tanimoto, Jun
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8913681/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35273312
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07985-9
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author Kuga, Kazuki
Tanimoto, Jun
author_facet Kuga, Kazuki
Tanimoto, Jun
author_sort Kuga, Kazuki
collection PubMed
description We present the pair approximation models for susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) epidemic dynamics in a sparse network based on a regular network. Two processes are considered, namely, a Markovian process with a constant recovery rate and a non-Markovian process with a fixed recovery time. We derive the implicit analytical expression for the final epidemic size and explicitly show the epidemic threshold in both Markovian and non-Markovian processes. As the connection rate decreases from the original network connection, the epidemic threshold in which epidemic phase transits from disease-free to endemic increases, and the final epidemic size decreases. Additionally, for comparison with sparse and heterogeneous networks, the pair approximation models were applied to a heterogeneous network with a degree distribution. The obtained phase diagram reveals that, upon increasing the degree of the original random regular networks and decreasing the effective connections by introducing void nodes accordingly, the final epidemic size of the sparse network is close to that of the random network with average degree of 4. Thus, introducing the void nodes in the network leads to more heterogeneous network and reduces the final epidemic size.
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spelling pubmed-89136812022-03-14 Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks Kuga, Kazuki Tanimoto, Jun Sci Rep Article We present the pair approximation models for susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) epidemic dynamics in a sparse network based on a regular network. Two processes are considered, namely, a Markovian process with a constant recovery rate and a non-Markovian process with a fixed recovery time. We derive the implicit analytical expression for the final epidemic size and explicitly show the epidemic threshold in both Markovian and non-Markovian processes. As the connection rate decreases from the original network connection, the epidemic threshold in which epidemic phase transits from disease-free to endemic increases, and the final epidemic size decreases. Additionally, for comparison with sparse and heterogeneous networks, the pair approximation models were applied to a heterogeneous network with a degree distribution. The obtained phase diagram reveals that, upon increasing the degree of the original random regular networks and decreasing the effective connections by introducing void nodes accordingly, the final epidemic size of the sparse network is close to that of the random network with average degree of 4. Thus, introducing the void nodes in the network leads to more heterogeneous network and reduces the final epidemic size. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-03-10 /pmc/articles/PMC8913681/ /pubmed/35273312 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07985-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Kuga, Kazuki
Tanimoto, Jun
Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title_full Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title_fullStr Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title_full_unstemmed Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title_short Effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
title_sort effects of void nodes on epidemic spreads in networks
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8913681/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35273312
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07985-9
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