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Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks

In this study, modeling the COVID-19 pandemic via a novel fractional-order SIDARTHE (FO-SIDARTHE) differential system is presented. The purpose of this research seemed to be to show the consequences and relevance of the fractional-order (FO) COVID-19 SIDARTHE differential system, as well as FO requi...

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Autores principales: Akkilic, Ayse Nur, Sabir, Zulqurnain, Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor, Bulut, Hasan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8916505/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35310068
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02525-w
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author Akkilic, Ayse Nur
Sabir, Zulqurnain
Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor
Bulut, Hasan
author_facet Akkilic, Ayse Nur
Sabir, Zulqurnain
Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor
Bulut, Hasan
author_sort Akkilic, Ayse Nur
collection PubMed
description In this study, modeling the COVID-19 pandemic via a novel fractional-order SIDARTHE (FO-SIDARTHE) differential system is presented. The purpose of this research seemed to be to show the consequences and relevance of the fractional-order (FO) COVID-19 SIDARTHE differential system, as well as FO required conditions underlying four control measures, called SI,  SD,  SA, and SR. The FO-SIDARTHE system incorporates eight phases of infection: susceptible (S), infected (I), diagnosed (D), ailing (A), recognized (R), threatening (T), healed (H), and extinct (E). Our objective of all these investigations is to use fractional derivatives to increase the accuracy of the SIDARTHE system. A FO-SIDARTHE system has yet to be disclosed, nor has it yet been treated using the strength of stochastic solvers. Stochastic solvers based on the Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation methodology (L-MB) and neural networks (NNs), specifically L-MBNNs, are being used to analyze a FO-SIDARTHE problem. Three cases having varied values under the same fractional order are being presented to resolve the FO-SIDARTHE system. The statistics employed to provide numerical solutions toward the FO-SIDARTHE system are classified as obeys: 72% toward training, 18% in testing, and 10% for authorization. To establish the accuracy of such L-MBNNs utilizing Adams–Bashforth–Moulton, the numerical findings were compared with the reference solutions.
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spelling pubmed-89165052022-03-14 Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks Akkilic, Ayse Nur Sabir, Zulqurnain Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor Bulut, Hasan Eur Phys J Plus Regular Article In this study, modeling the COVID-19 pandemic via a novel fractional-order SIDARTHE (FO-SIDARTHE) differential system is presented. The purpose of this research seemed to be to show the consequences and relevance of the fractional-order (FO) COVID-19 SIDARTHE differential system, as well as FO required conditions underlying four control measures, called SI,  SD,  SA, and SR. The FO-SIDARTHE system incorporates eight phases of infection: susceptible (S), infected (I), diagnosed (D), ailing (A), recognized (R), threatening (T), healed (H), and extinct (E). Our objective of all these investigations is to use fractional derivatives to increase the accuracy of the SIDARTHE system. A FO-SIDARTHE system has yet to be disclosed, nor has it yet been treated using the strength of stochastic solvers. Stochastic solvers based on the Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation methodology (L-MB) and neural networks (NNs), specifically L-MBNNs, are being used to analyze a FO-SIDARTHE problem. Three cases having varied values under the same fractional order are being presented to resolve the FO-SIDARTHE system. The statistics employed to provide numerical solutions toward the FO-SIDARTHE system are classified as obeys: 72% toward training, 18% in testing, and 10% for authorization. To establish the accuracy of such L-MBNNs utilizing Adams–Bashforth–Moulton, the numerical findings were compared with the reference solutions. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-03-11 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8916505/ /pubmed/35310068 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02525-w Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Società Italiana di Fisica and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Regular Article
Akkilic, Ayse Nur
Sabir, Zulqurnain
Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor
Bulut, Hasan
Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title_full Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title_fullStr Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title_short Numerical treatment on the new fractional-order SIDARTHE COVID-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
title_sort numerical treatment on the new fractional-order sidarthe covid-19 pandemic differential model via neural networks
topic Regular Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8916505/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35310068
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02525-w
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