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Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change
The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of international aid or susceptible depletion. We mo...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8920281/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35286310 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264425 |
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author | Halvorsen, Gustav S. Simonsen, Lone Sneppen, Kim |
author_facet | Halvorsen, Gustav S. Simonsen, Lone Sneppen, Kim |
author_sort | Halvorsen, Gustav S. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of international aid or susceptible depletion. We modeled Ebola virus transmission under the effect of behavior changes acting as a local inhibitor. A spatial model is used to simulate Ebola epidemics. Our findings suggest that behavior changes can explain why local Ebola outbreaks recede before substantial international aid was mobilized during the 2014-2016 epidemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8920281 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89202812022-03-15 Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change Halvorsen, Gustav S. Simonsen, Lone Sneppen, Kim PLoS One Research Article The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of international aid or susceptible depletion. We modeled Ebola virus transmission under the effect of behavior changes acting as a local inhibitor. A spatial model is used to simulate Ebola epidemics. Our findings suggest that behavior changes can explain why local Ebola outbreaks recede before substantial international aid was mobilized during the 2014-2016 epidemic. Public Library of Science 2022-03-14 /pmc/articles/PMC8920281/ /pubmed/35286310 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264425 Text en © 2022 Halvorsen et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Halvorsen, Gustav S. Simonsen, Lone Sneppen, Kim Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title | Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title_full | Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title_fullStr | Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title_full_unstemmed | Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title_short | Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
title_sort | spatial model of ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8920281/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35286310 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264425 |
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