Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients w...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tao, Heqing, Xu, Jinhui, Li, Nan, Chang, Hong, Duan, Liping
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Termedia Publishing House 2022
Materias:
Research Letter
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8924828/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35316925
http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262
Descripción
Sumario:INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients with RAP. RESULTS: A nomogram for RAP progression to CP was developed and the C-index of the model was 0.817 (95% CI: 0.72–0.91). Patients were divided into two risk groups according to the nomogram prediction scores and a higher proportion of patients in the high-risk group progressed to CP. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram provided a means of predicting which patients were at high risk of progression to CP.

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