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Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients w...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tao, Heqing, Xu, Jinhui, Li, Nan, Chang, Hong, Duan, Liping
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Termedia Publishing House 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8924828/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35316925
http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262
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author Tao, Heqing
Xu, Jinhui
Li, Nan
Chang, Hong
Duan, Liping
author_facet Tao, Heqing
Xu, Jinhui
Li, Nan
Chang, Hong
Duan, Liping
author_sort Tao, Heqing
collection PubMed
description INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients with RAP. RESULTS: A nomogram for RAP progression to CP was developed and the C-index of the model was 0.817 (95% CI: 0.72–0.91). Patients were divided into two risk groups according to the nomogram prediction scores and a higher proportion of patients in the high-risk group progressed to CP. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram provided a means of predicting which patients were at high risk of progression to CP.
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spelling pubmed-89248282022-03-21 Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis Tao, Heqing Xu, Jinhui Li, Nan Chang, Hong Duan, Liping Arch Med Sci Research Letter INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients with RAP. RESULTS: A nomogram for RAP progression to CP was developed and the C-index of the model was 0.817 (95% CI: 0.72–0.91). Patients were divided into two risk groups according to the nomogram prediction scores and a higher proportion of patients in the high-risk group progressed to CP. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram provided a means of predicting which patients were at high risk of progression to CP. Termedia Publishing House 2022-02-06 /pmc/articles/PMC8924828/ /pubmed/35316925 http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262 Text en Copyright: © 2022 Termedia & Banach https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) License, allowing third parties to copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format and to remix, transform, and build upon the material, provided the original work is properly cited and states its license.
spellingShingle Research Letter
Tao, Heqing
Xu, Jinhui
Li, Nan
Chang, Hong
Duan, Liping
Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title_full Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title_fullStr Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title_full_unstemmed Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title_short Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
title_sort early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
topic Research Letter
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8924828/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35316925
http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262
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