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Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis
INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients w...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Termedia Publishing House
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8924828/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35316925 http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262 |
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author | Tao, Heqing Xu, Jinhui Li, Nan Chang, Hong Duan, Liping |
author_facet | Tao, Heqing Xu, Jinhui Li, Nan Chang, Hong Duan, Liping |
author_sort | Tao, Heqing |
collection | PubMed |
description | INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients with RAP. RESULTS: A nomogram for RAP progression to CP was developed and the C-index of the model was 0.817 (95% CI: 0.72–0.91). Patients were divided into two risk groups according to the nomogram prediction scores and a higher proportion of patients in the high-risk group progressed to CP. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram provided a means of predicting which patients were at high risk of progression to CP. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8924828 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Termedia Publishing House |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89248282022-03-21 Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis Tao, Heqing Xu, Jinhui Li, Nan Chang, Hong Duan, Liping Arch Med Sci Research Letter INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to develop a simple tool for early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) progression to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in primary hospitals or outpatient clinics. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 265 patients with RAP. RESULTS: A nomogram for RAP progression to CP was developed and the C-index of the model was 0.817 (95% CI: 0.72–0.91). Patients were divided into two risk groups according to the nomogram prediction scores and a higher proportion of patients in the high-risk group progressed to CP. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram provided a means of predicting which patients were at high risk of progression to CP. Termedia Publishing House 2022-02-06 /pmc/articles/PMC8924828/ /pubmed/35316925 http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262 Text en Copyright: © 2022 Termedia & Banach https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) License, allowing third parties to copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format and to remix, transform, and build upon the material, provided the original work is properly cited and states its license. |
spellingShingle | Research Letter Tao, Heqing Xu, Jinhui Li, Nan Chang, Hong Duan, Liping Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title | Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title_full | Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title_fullStr | Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title_full_unstemmed | Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title_short | Early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
title_sort | early identification of high-risk patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis progression to chronic pancreatitis |
topic | Research Letter |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8924828/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35316925 http://dx.doi.org/10.5114/aoms/146262 |
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