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Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
OBJECTIVES: The cumulative numbers of confirmed cases, despite providing few details regarding the dynamics, are widely used to model the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this study was to determine the dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by using the number of dail...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Taibah University
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8931691/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35317285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtumed.2022.03.002 |
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author | Abusam, Abdallah |
author_facet | Abusam, Abdallah |
author_sort | Abusam, Abdallah |
collection | PubMed |
description | OBJECTIVES: The cumulative numbers of confirmed cases, despite providing few details regarding the dynamics, are widely used to model the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this study was to determine the dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by using the number of daily new cases rather than the cumulative number of new cases. METHODS: Data on daily new cases of COVID-19 in the GCC countries from February 2020 to September 2021 were obtained from the Worldometer website. In MATLAB, the Savitzky–Golay filter was used to obtain smoothed curves of the daily profiles of the pandemic, and power spectrum analysis was performed to identify the dominant frequencies. RESULTS: The smoothed curves indicated that the GCC countries have experienced two major waves of the pandemic with different peaks and durations. During the first wave, the exponential growth rates ranged from 9 cases/day in Bahrain to 53 cases/day in KSA, whereas the decline rates varied from 6 cases/day in Kuwait to 72 cases/day in KSA. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the similarities in socio-economic and environmental conditions among GCC countries, the results indicated that the dynamics of COVID-19 are unique for each GCC country. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8931691 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Taibah University |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89316912022-03-18 Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries Abusam, Abdallah J Taibah Univ Med Sci Original Article OBJECTIVES: The cumulative numbers of confirmed cases, despite providing few details regarding the dynamics, are widely used to model the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this study was to determine the dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by using the number of daily new cases rather than the cumulative number of new cases. METHODS: Data on daily new cases of COVID-19 in the GCC countries from February 2020 to September 2021 were obtained from the Worldometer website. In MATLAB, the Savitzky–Golay filter was used to obtain smoothed curves of the daily profiles of the pandemic, and power spectrum analysis was performed to identify the dominant frequencies. RESULTS: The smoothed curves indicated that the GCC countries have experienced two major waves of the pandemic with different peaks and durations. During the first wave, the exponential growth rates ranged from 9 cases/day in Bahrain to 53 cases/day in KSA, whereas the decline rates varied from 6 cases/day in Kuwait to 72 cases/day in KSA. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the similarities in socio-economic and environmental conditions among GCC countries, the results indicated that the dynamics of COVID-19 are unique for each GCC country. Taibah University 2022-03-18 /pmc/articles/PMC8931691/ /pubmed/35317285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtumed.2022.03.002 Text en © 2022 [The Author/The Authors] https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Original Article Abusam, Abdallah Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title | Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title_full | Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title_fullStr | Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title_short | Dynamics of COVID-19 in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries |
title_sort | dynamics of covid-19 in the gulf cooperation council (gcc) countries |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8931691/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35317285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtumed.2022.03.002 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT abusamabdallah dynamicsofcovid19inthegulfcooperationcouncilgcccountries |