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Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries

The ultimate aim of the article is to predict COVID-19 virus inter-cellular behavioral dynamics using an infection model with a quarantine compartment. Internal viral dynamics and stability attributes are thoroughly investigated around stable equilibrium states to probe possible ways in reducing rap...

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Autores principales: Pitchaimani, M., Saranya Devi, A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8934028/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35340782
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02556-3
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author Pitchaimani, M.
Saranya Devi, A.
author_facet Pitchaimani, M.
Saranya Devi, A.
author_sort Pitchaimani, M.
collection PubMed
description The ultimate aim of the article is to predict COVID-19 virus inter-cellular behavioral dynamics using an infection model with a quarantine compartment. Internal viral dynamics and stability attributes are thoroughly investigated around stable equilibrium states to probe possible ways in reducing rapid spread by incorporating fractional-order components into epidemic systems. Furthermore, a fractional optimal problem was built and studied with three control measures to restrict the widespread of COVID-19 infections and exhibit perfect protection. It is found that by following [Formula: see text] of control strategies can eradicate the infectives. Furthermore, the time frame of sixteen months has been divided into four short periods to grasp the pandemic, as the pandemic’s parameters change over time. Finally, using real data, we estimated the parameters of the model system and the expression of the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] for the most affected countries, China, USA, UK, Italy, France, Germany, Spain, and Iran.
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spelling pubmed-89340282022-03-21 Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries Pitchaimani, M. Saranya Devi, A. Eur Phys J Plus Regular Article The ultimate aim of the article is to predict COVID-19 virus inter-cellular behavioral dynamics using an infection model with a quarantine compartment. Internal viral dynamics and stability attributes are thoroughly investigated around stable equilibrium states to probe possible ways in reducing rapid spread by incorporating fractional-order components into epidemic systems. Furthermore, a fractional optimal problem was built and studied with three control measures to restrict the widespread of COVID-19 infections and exhibit perfect protection. It is found that by following [Formula: see text] of control strategies can eradicate the infectives. Furthermore, the time frame of sixteen months has been divided into four short periods to grasp the pandemic, as the pandemic’s parameters change over time. Finally, using real data, we estimated the parameters of the model system and the expression of the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] for the most affected countries, China, USA, UK, Italy, France, Germany, Spain, and Iran. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-03-19 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8934028/ /pubmed/35340782 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02556-3 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Società Italiana di Fisica and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Regular Article
Pitchaimani, M.
Saranya Devi, A.
Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title_full Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title_fullStr Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title_full_unstemmed Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title_short Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
title_sort fractional dynamical probes in covid-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries
topic Regular Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8934028/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35340782
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02556-3
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