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Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System
The Northern Humboldt Current System sustains one of the most productive fisheries in the world. However, climate change is anticipated to negatively affect fish production in this region over the next few decades, and detailed analyses for many fishery resources are unavailable. We implemented a tr...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8938481/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35314739 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-08818-5 |
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author | Ramos, Jorge E. Tam, Jorge Aramayo, Víctor Briceño, Felipe A. Bandin, Ricardo Buitron, Betsy Cuba, Antonio Fernandez, Ernesto Flores-Valiente, Jorge Gomez, Emperatriz Jara, Hans J. Ñiquen, Miguel Rujel, Jesús Salazar, Carlos M. Sanjinez, Maria León, Rafael I. Nelson, Mark Gutiérrez, Dimitri Pecl, Gretta T. |
author_facet | Ramos, Jorge E. Tam, Jorge Aramayo, Víctor Briceño, Felipe A. Bandin, Ricardo Buitron, Betsy Cuba, Antonio Fernandez, Ernesto Flores-Valiente, Jorge Gomez, Emperatriz Jara, Hans J. Ñiquen, Miguel Rujel, Jesús Salazar, Carlos M. Sanjinez, Maria León, Rafael I. Nelson, Mark Gutiérrez, Dimitri Pecl, Gretta T. |
author_sort | Ramos, Jorge E. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The Northern Humboldt Current System sustains one of the most productive fisheries in the world. However, climate change is anticipated to negatively affect fish production in this region over the next few decades, and detailed analyses for many fishery resources are unavailable. We implemented a trait-based Climate Vulnerability Assessment based on expert elicitation to estimate the relative vulnerability of 28 fishery resources (benthic, demersal, and pelagic) to the impacts of climate change by 2055; ten exposure factors (e.g., temperature, salinity, pH, chlorophyll) and 13 sensitivity attributes (biological and population-level traits) were used. Nearly 36% of the species assessed had “high” or “very high” vulnerability. Benthic species were ranked the most vulnerable (gastropod and bivalve species). The pelagic group was the second most vulnerable; the Pacific chub mackerel and the yellowfin tuna were amongst the most vulnerable pelagic species. The demersal group had the relatively lowest vulnerability. This study allowed identification of vulnerable fishery resources, research and monitoring priorities, and identification of the key exposure factors and sensitivity attributes which are driving that vulnerability. Our findings can help fishery managers incorporate climate change into harvest level and allocation decisions, and assist stakeholders plan for and adapt to a changing future. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8938481 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89384812022-03-28 Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System Ramos, Jorge E. Tam, Jorge Aramayo, Víctor Briceño, Felipe A. Bandin, Ricardo Buitron, Betsy Cuba, Antonio Fernandez, Ernesto Flores-Valiente, Jorge Gomez, Emperatriz Jara, Hans J. Ñiquen, Miguel Rujel, Jesús Salazar, Carlos M. Sanjinez, Maria León, Rafael I. Nelson, Mark Gutiérrez, Dimitri Pecl, Gretta T. Sci Rep Article The Northern Humboldt Current System sustains one of the most productive fisheries in the world. However, climate change is anticipated to negatively affect fish production in this region over the next few decades, and detailed analyses for many fishery resources are unavailable. We implemented a trait-based Climate Vulnerability Assessment based on expert elicitation to estimate the relative vulnerability of 28 fishery resources (benthic, demersal, and pelagic) to the impacts of climate change by 2055; ten exposure factors (e.g., temperature, salinity, pH, chlorophyll) and 13 sensitivity attributes (biological and population-level traits) were used. Nearly 36% of the species assessed had “high” or “very high” vulnerability. Benthic species were ranked the most vulnerable (gastropod and bivalve species). The pelagic group was the second most vulnerable; the Pacific chub mackerel and the yellowfin tuna were amongst the most vulnerable pelagic species. The demersal group had the relatively lowest vulnerability. This study allowed identification of vulnerable fishery resources, research and monitoring priorities, and identification of the key exposure factors and sensitivity attributes which are driving that vulnerability. Our findings can help fishery managers incorporate climate change into harvest level and allocation decisions, and assist stakeholders plan for and adapt to a changing future. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-03-21 /pmc/articles/PMC8938481/ /pubmed/35314739 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-08818-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2022, corrected publication 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Ramos, Jorge E. Tam, Jorge Aramayo, Víctor Briceño, Felipe A. Bandin, Ricardo Buitron, Betsy Cuba, Antonio Fernandez, Ernesto Flores-Valiente, Jorge Gomez, Emperatriz Jara, Hans J. Ñiquen, Miguel Rujel, Jesús Salazar, Carlos M. Sanjinez, Maria León, Rafael I. Nelson, Mark Gutiérrez, Dimitri Pecl, Gretta T. Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title | Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title_full | Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title_fullStr | Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title_short | Climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the Northern Humboldt Current System |
title_sort | climate vulnerability assessment of key fishery resources in the northern humboldt current system |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8938481/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35314739 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-08818-5 |
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