LMS parameters, percentile, and Z-score growth curves for axial length in Chinese schoolchildren in Wuhan

Understanding the ocular structural changes are fundamental to defining strategies for myopia prevention and management. This study aimed to establish age-gender specific normative LMS parameters for axial length to generate percentile and Z-score growth curves in a population of Chinese schoolchildren. A total of 14,760 individuals aged 6 to 15 years from Wuhan, central China, contributed to this study. The LMS method was used for the calculation of LMS parameters and the generation of percentile and Z-score growth curves for axial length. Growth curves derived from the LMS parameters were compared with those originally calculated. Axial elongation was age- and percentile-dependent. The highest elongation rate occurred at the 98th percentile in the range 6 to 9 years, being up to 1.46 mm in boys and 1.42 mm in girls. The largest differences between original and newly generated growth curves were detected at the 98th percentile at age 15; 0.78 mm (females) and 0.63 mm (males). Multinomial logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analyses revealed Z-scores as a good predictor for estimating high myopia development. The axial length growth curves presented in this study provide a technically solid instrument that depicts the best description of physiological eye growth for Chinese schoolchildren aged 6 to 15 years.