Response and survival predictors in a cohort of 319 patients with Waldenström macroglobulinemia treated with ibrutinib monotherapy

Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors are the only FDA-approved treatments for Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM). Factors prognostic of survival and predictive of response to BTK inhibitors remained to be clarified. We evaluated 319 patients with WM to identify predictive and prognostic factors on ibrutinib monotherapy. Logistic and Cox proportional-hazard regression models were fitted for response and survival. Multiple imputation analyses were used to address bias associated with missing data. Major (partial response or better) and deep responses (very good partial response or better) were attained in 78% and 28% of patients. CXCR4 mutations were associated with lower odds of major (odds ratio [OR], 0.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1-0.5; P < .001) and deep response (OR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P = .001). CXCR4 mutations (hazard ratio [HR], 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2-3.4; P = .01) and platelet count 100 K/uL or less (HR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.3-4.9; P = .007) were associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS). We proposed a scoring system using these 2 factors. The median PFS for patients with 0, 1, and 2 risk factors were not reached, 5 years and 3 years (P < .001). Patients with 2 risk factors had HR 2.2 (95% CI, 1.3-3.8; P = .004) compared with 1 factor, and patients with 1 factor had HR 2.3 (95% CI, 1.1-5.1; P = .03) compared with 0 factors. Age ≥65 years was the only factor associated with overall survival (HR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.4-7.0; P = .005). Multiple imputation analyses did not alter our results. Our study confirms the predictive and prognostic value of CXCR4 mutations in patients with WM treated with ibrutinib monotherapy.