Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina

This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on death...

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Autor principal: Karlinsky, Ariel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Organización Panamericana de la Salud 2022
Materias:
Brief Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8948443/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35350453
http://dx.doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2022.19
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author Karlinsky, Ariel
author_facet Karlinsky, Ariel
author_sort Karlinsky, Ariel
collection PubMed
description This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on deaths in Córdoba province were used to project excess deaths in Argentina from March 2020 up to the end of 2021. The number of excess deaths was estimated at 134 504, which is 14.8% higher than the reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Argentina for the same time period.
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spelling pubmed-89484432022-03-28 Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina Karlinsky, Ariel Rev Panam Salud Publica Brief Communication This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on deaths in Córdoba province were used to project excess deaths in Argentina from March 2020 up to the end of 2021. The number of excess deaths was estimated at 134 504, which is 14.8% higher than the reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Argentina for the same time period. Organización Panamericana de la Salud 2022-03-23 /pmc/articles/PMC8948443/ /pubmed/35350453 http://dx.doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2022.19 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 IGO License, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. No modifications or commercial use of this article are permitted. In any reproduction of this article there should not be any suggestion that PAHO or this article endorse any specific organization or products. The use of the PAHO logo is not permitted. This notice should be preserved along with the article’s original URL. Open access logo and text by PLoS, under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported license.
spellingShingle Brief Communication
Karlinsky, Ariel
Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title_full Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title_fullStr Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title_short Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
title_sort estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to argentina
topic Brief Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8948443/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35350453
http://dx.doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2022.19
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