Long-Term Risk of Colectomy in Patients with Severe Ulcerative Colitis Responding to Intravenous Corticosteroids or Infliximab

Background and aims: Intravenous corticosteroids (IVCS) and rescue therapy with infliximab (IFX) are useful for managing patients with acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC). However, nearly one fifth of responders undergo colectomy. Predictive factors of colectomy in this subset of patients are not fully known. We retrospectively examined the long-term risk and the predictors of colectomy in ASUC patients achieving clinical remission following treatment with IVCS or IFX. Patients and methods: Clinical and demographic characteristics were evaluated in consecutive ASUC patients who were admitted to the “Tor Vergata University” hospital between 2010 and 2020 and responded to IVCS or IFX. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to identify independent predictors of colectomy. Results: A total of 116 ASUC patients responding to IVCS (98 patients) or IFX (18 patients) were followed up for a median of 46 months. After discharge, 29 patients (25%) underwent colectomy. Multivariate analysis showed that a serum albumin level <3 g/dL and colonic dilation >5.5 cm on admission were independent predictors of colectomy (OR: 6.9, 95% CI: 2.08–22.8, and OR 8.5, 95% CI: 1.23–58.3, respectively). Patients with both these factors had a risk of colectomy 13 times greater than those with no risk factor. Conclusions: A low serum albumin level and colonic dilation are risk factors of long-term colectomy in ASUC patients responding to IVCS or IFX.