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Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread

The Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is spreading all over the world. Quantitative analysis of the effects of various factors on the spread of the epidemic will help people better understand the transmission characteristics of SARS-CoV-2, thus providing a theoretical basis for governments to dev...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Fu, Yu, Lin, Shaofu, Xu, Zhenkai
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8953928/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35328880
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19063187
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author Fu, Yu
Lin, Shaofu
Xu, Zhenkai
author_facet Fu, Yu
Lin, Shaofu
Xu, Zhenkai
author_sort Fu, Yu
collection PubMed
description The Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is spreading all over the world. Quantitative analysis of the effects of various factors on the spread of the epidemic will help people better understand the transmission characteristics of SARS-CoV-2, thus providing a theoretical basis for governments to develop epidemic prevention and control strategies. This article uses public data sets from The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University (JHU CSSE), Air Quality Open Data Platform, China Meteorological Data Network, and WorldPop website to construct experimental data. The epidemic situation is predicted by Dual-link BiGRU Network, and the relationship between epidemic spread and various feature factors is quantitatively analyzed by the Gauss-Newton iteration Method. The study found that population density has the greatest positive correlation to the spread of the epidemic among the selected feature factors, followed by the number of landing flights. The number of newly diagnosed daily will increase by 1.08% for every 1% of the population density, the number of newly diagnosed daily will increase by 0.98% for every 1% of the number of landing flights. The results of this study show that the control of social distance and population movement has a high priority in epidemic prevention and control strategies, and it can play a very important role in controlling the spread of the epidemic.
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spelling pubmed-89539282022-03-26 Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread Fu, Yu Lin, Shaofu Xu, Zhenkai Int J Environ Res Public Health Article The Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is spreading all over the world. Quantitative analysis of the effects of various factors on the spread of the epidemic will help people better understand the transmission characteristics of SARS-CoV-2, thus providing a theoretical basis for governments to develop epidemic prevention and control strategies. This article uses public data sets from The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University (JHU CSSE), Air Quality Open Data Platform, China Meteorological Data Network, and WorldPop website to construct experimental data. The epidemic situation is predicted by Dual-link BiGRU Network, and the relationship between epidemic spread and various feature factors is quantitatively analyzed by the Gauss-Newton iteration Method. The study found that population density has the greatest positive correlation to the spread of the epidemic among the selected feature factors, followed by the number of landing flights. The number of newly diagnosed daily will increase by 1.08% for every 1% of the population density, the number of newly diagnosed daily will increase by 0.98% for every 1% of the number of landing flights. The results of this study show that the control of social distance and population movement has a high priority in epidemic prevention and control strategies, and it can play a very important role in controlling the spread of the epidemic. MDPI 2022-03-08 /pmc/articles/PMC8953928/ /pubmed/35328880 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19063187 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Fu, Yu
Lin, Shaofu
Xu, Zhenkai
Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title_full Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title_fullStr Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title_full_unstemmed Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title_short Research on Quantitative Analysis of Multiple Factors Affecting COVID-19 Spread
title_sort research on quantitative analysis of multiple factors affecting covid-19 spread
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8953928/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35328880
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19063187
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