Cargando…

Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation

A share of predictable information about the forthcoming state of a three-sided coin (susceptible—infected—immune) with the regular and random transition times between states is used for assessing the degree of pandemic uncertainty in our model. Unreliable and unsafe vaccines (that do not guarantee...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Volchenkov, D.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Pleiades Publishing 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8962943/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1995080222020184
Descripción
Sumario:A share of predictable information about the forthcoming state of a three-sided coin (susceptible—infected—immune) with the regular and random transition times between states is used for assessing the degree of pandemic uncertainty in our model. Unreliable and unsafe vaccines (that do not guarantee absolute immunity) as well as long self-isolation making transition times random increase the degree of pandemic uncertainty, worsening the damaging impact for both society and the economy.