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Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation
A share of predictable information about the forthcoming state of a three-sided coin (susceptible—infected—immune) with the regular and random transition times between states is used for assessing the degree of pandemic uncertainty in our model. Unreliable and unsafe vaccines (that do not guarantee...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Pleiades Publishing
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8962943/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1995080222020184 |
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author | Volchenkov, D. |
author_facet | Volchenkov, D. |
author_sort | Volchenkov, D. |
collection | PubMed |
description | A share of predictable information about the forthcoming state of a three-sided coin (susceptible—infected—immune) with the regular and random transition times between states is used for assessing the degree of pandemic uncertainty in our model. Unreliable and unsafe vaccines (that do not guarantee absolute immunity) as well as long self-isolation making transition times random increase the degree of pandemic uncertainty, worsening the damaging impact for both society and the economy. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8962943 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Pleiades Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89629432022-03-30 Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation Volchenkov, D. Lobachevskii J Math Article A share of predictable information about the forthcoming state of a three-sided coin (susceptible—infected—immune) with the regular and random transition times between states is used for assessing the degree of pandemic uncertainty in our model. Unreliable and unsafe vaccines (that do not guarantee absolute immunity) as well as long self-isolation making transition times random increase the degree of pandemic uncertainty, worsening the damaging impact for both society and the economy. Pleiades Publishing 2022-03-29 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8962943/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1995080222020184 Text en © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Volchenkov, D. Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title | Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title_full | Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title_fullStr | Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title_full_unstemmed | Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title_short | Assessing Pandemic Uncertainty on Conditions of Vaccination and Self-isolation |
title_sort | assessing pandemic uncertainty on conditions of vaccination and self-isolation |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8962943/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1995080222020184 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT volchenkovd assessingpandemicuncertaintyonconditionsofvaccinationandselfisolation |