IGHV-associated methylation signatures more accurately predict clinical outcomes of chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients than IGHV mutation load

Currently, no molecular biomarker indices are used in standard care to make treatment decisions at diagnosis of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). We used Infinium MethylationEPIC array data from diagnostic blood samples of 114 CLL patients and developed a procedure to stratify patients based on methylation signatures associated with mutation load of the IGHV gene. This procedure allowed us to predict the time to treatment with a hazard ratio (HR) of 8.34 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.54-15.30), as opposed to a HR of 4.35 (95% CI: 2.60-7.28) using IGHV mutation status. Detailed evaluation of 17 cases for which the two classification procedures gave discrepant results showed that these cases were incorrectly classified using IGHV status. Moreover, methylation-based classification stratified patients with different overall survival (HR=1.82; 95% CI: 1.07-3.09), which was not possible using IGHV status. Furthermore, we assessed the performance of the developed classification procedure using published HumanMethylation450 array data for 159 patients for whom information on time to treatment, overall survival and relapse was available. Despite 450K array methylation data not containing all the biomarkers used in our classification procedure, methylation signatures again stratified patients with significantly better accuracy than did IGHV mutation load regarding all available clinical outcomes. Thus, stratification using IGHV-associated methylation signatures may provide better prognostic power than IGHV mutation status.