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|tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence

BACKGROUND: Tests have false positive or false negative results, which, if not properly accounted for, may provide misleading apparent prevalence estimates based on the observed rate of positive tests and not the true disease prevalence estimates. Methods to estimate the true prevalence of disease,...

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Autores principales: Pateras, Konstantinos, Kostoulas, Polychronis
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8977049/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35369874
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-022-01557-1
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author Pateras, Konstantinos
Kostoulas, Polychronis
author_facet Pateras, Konstantinos
Kostoulas, Polychronis
author_sort Pateras, Konstantinos
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Tests have false positive or false negative results, which, if not properly accounted for, may provide misleading apparent prevalence estimates based on the observed rate of positive tests and not the true disease prevalence estimates. Methods to estimate the true prevalence of disease, adjusting for the sensitivity and the specificity of the diagnostic tests are available and can be applied, though, such procedures can be cumbersome to researchers with or without a solid statistical background. This manuscript introduces a web-based application that integrates statistical methods for Bayesian inference of true disease prevalence based on prior elicitation for the accuracy of the diagnostic tests. This tool allows practitioners to simultaneously analyse and visualize results while using interactive sliders and output prior/posterior plots. METHODS - IMPLEMENTATION: Three methods for prevalence prior elicitation and four core families of Bayesian methods have been combined and incorporated in this web tool. |tPRiors| user interface has been developed with R and Shiny and may be freely accessed on-line. RESULTS: |tPRiors| allows researchers to use preloaded data or upload their own datasets and perform analysis on either single or multiple population groups clusters, allowing, if needed, for excess zero prevalence. The final report is exported in raw parts either as.rdata or.png files and can be further analysed. We utilize a real multiple-population and a toy single-population dataset to demonstrate the robustness and capabilities of |tPRiors|. CONCLUSIONS: We expect |tPRiors| to be helpful for researchers interested in true disease prevalence estimation and who are keen on accounting for prior information. |tPRiors| acts both as a statistical tool and a simplified step-by-step statistical framework that facilitates the use of complex Bayesian methods. The application of |tPRiors| is expected to aid standardization of practices in the field of Bayesian modelling on subject and multiple group-based true prevalence estimation.
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spelling pubmed-89770492022-04-04 |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence Pateras, Konstantinos Kostoulas, Polychronis BMC Med Res Methodol Software BACKGROUND: Tests have false positive or false negative results, which, if not properly accounted for, may provide misleading apparent prevalence estimates based on the observed rate of positive tests and not the true disease prevalence estimates. Methods to estimate the true prevalence of disease, adjusting for the sensitivity and the specificity of the diagnostic tests are available and can be applied, though, such procedures can be cumbersome to researchers with or without a solid statistical background. This manuscript introduces a web-based application that integrates statistical methods for Bayesian inference of true disease prevalence based on prior elicitation for the accuracy of the diagnostic tests. This tool allows practitioners to simultaneously analyse and visualize results while using interactive sliders and output prior/posterior plots. METHODS - IMPLEMENTATION: Three methods for prevalence prior elicitation and four core families of Bayesian methods have been combined and incorporated in this web tool. |tPRiors| user interface has been developed with R and Shiny and may be freely accessed on-line. RESULTS: |tPRiors| allows researchers to use preloaded data or upload their own datasets and perform analysis on either single or multiple population groups clusters, allowing, if needed, for excess zero prevalence. The final report is exported in raw parts either as.rdata or.png files and can be further analysed. We utilize a real multiple-population and a toy single-population dataset to demonstrate the robustness and capabilities of |tPRiors|. CONCLUSIONS: We expect |tPRiors| to be helpful for researchers interested in true disease prevalence estimation and who are keen on accounting for prior information. |tPRiors| acts both as a statistical tool and a simplified step-by-step statistical framework that facilitates the use of complex Bayesian methods. The application of |tPRiors| is expected to aid standardization of practices in the field of Bayesian modelling on subject and multiple group-based true prevalence estimation. BioMed Central 2022-04-03 /pmc/articles/PMC8977049/ /pubmed/35369874 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-022-01557-1 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) ) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
spellingShingle Software
Pateras, Konstantinos
Kostoulas, Polychronis
|tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title_full |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title_fullStr |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title_full_unstemmed |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title_short |tPRiors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
title_sort |tpriors |: a tool for prior elicitation and obtaining posterior distributions of true disease prevalence
topic Software
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8977049/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35369874
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-022-01557-1
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