How did the adoption of wP-pentavalent affect the global paediatric vaccine coverage rate? A multicountry panel data analysis

OBJECTIVES: Several studies have highlighted the effects of combination vaccines on immunisation coverage at the national or subnational level. This study examined the effects globally. Worldwide introduction of whole-cell pertussis pentavalent (wP-pentavalent) allowed estimation of incremental coverage effects of combination vaccines on the third doses of diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis (DTP3); hepatitis B (HepB3) and Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib3). DESIGN: Multicountry panel data analysis. DATA SOURCES: Country-level vaccine coverage data of WHO/UNICEF for the years 1980–2018. METHODS: Linear mixed models were used to estimate the effects of wP-pentavalent introduction by incorporating proxy variables to control for time trend and other time-dependent changes in the immunisation programmes. RESULTS: Introduction of combination vaccines may have improved the coverage of DTP3 by 3percentage points(95% CI 2.5% to 3.6%) globally compared with the coverage in the pre-combination vaccine era. The comparison of coverage rates of HepB3 and Hib3 in before and after wP-pentavalent periods indicates that the introduction of combination vaccines improved the coverage by 10.1 percentage points (95% CI 8.4% to 11.7%) for HepB3 and 9.9 (95% CI 7.1% to 12.7%) for Hib3 in countries that introduced those antigens prior to adoption of wP-pentavalent. Even though the incremental coverage increase of DTP3 appears quite modest, it is still a significant result, especially because DTP vaccine has been in the national immunisation programmes of all countries for about 24 years prior to the introduction of wP-pentavalent. Additionally, the introduction of pentavalent also allowed inclusion of Hib and HepB in the vaccine schedule for a large number of countries (85 and 37, respectively, of the 102 countries included in our analysis). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that development of combination vaccines with additional antigens is likely to help sustain and improve coverage of existing as well as new childhood vaccines.