Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI radiomics nomogram for predicting axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer

PURPOSE: The goal of this study is to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram integrating the radiomics features from DCE-MRI and clinical factors for the preoperative diagnosis of axillary lymph node (ALN) metastasis in breast cancer patients. PROCEDURES: A total of 432 patients with breast cancer were enrolled in this retrospective study and divided into a training cohort (n = 296) and a validation cohort (n = 136). Radiomics features were extracted from the second phase of dynamic contrast enhanced (DCE) MRI images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was used to screen optimal features and construct a radiomics signature in the training cohort. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to establish a radiomics nomogram model based on the radiomics signature and clinical factors. The predictive performance of the nomogram was quantified with respect to discrimination and calibration, which was further evaluated in the independent validation cohort. RESULTS: Fourteen ALN metastasis-related features were selected to construct the radiomics signature, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.847 and 0.805 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The nomogram was established by incorporating the histological grade, multifocality, MRI report lymph node status and radiomics signature and showed good calibration and excellent performance for ALN detection (AUC of 0.907 and 0.874 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively). The decision curve, which demonstrated the radiomics nomogram, displayed promising clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomics nomogram can be used as a noninvasive and reliable tool to assist clinicians in accurately predicting ALN metastasis in breast cancer preoperatively. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40644-022-00450-w.