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Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa

Although Africa is the most vulnerable region to climate change, little research has focused on how climate change is perceived by Africans. Using random forest methodology, we analyze survey and climate data from second-order political boundaries to explore what predicts climate change beliefs in A...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: González, Juan B., Sánchez, Alfonso
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8982886/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35381021
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0266387
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author González, Juan B.
Sánchez, Alfonso
author_facet González, Juan B.
Sánchez, Alfonso
author_sort González, Juan B.
collection PubMed
description Although Africa is the most vulnerable region to climate change, little research has focused on how climate change is perceived by Africans. Using random forest methodology, we analyze survey and climate data from second-order political boundaries to explore what predicts climate change beliefs in Africa. We include five different dimensions of climate change beliefs: climate change awareness, belief in anthropogenic climate change, risk perception, the need to stop climate change, and self-efficacy. Based on these criteria we identify five key results: (1) climate change in Africa is largely perceived through its negative impacts on agriculture; (2) actual changes in local climate conditions are related to climate change beliefs; (3) authoritarian and intolerant ideologies are associated to less climate change awareness, and a diminished risk perception and belief that it must be stopped; (4) women are less likely to be aware of climate change, and (5) not speaking French, English or Portuguese is linked to a hindered understanding of climate beliefs. Our combined results can help policy makers better understand the need to jointly consider the multilevel complexities of individual beliefs and hydroclimatic data for the development of more accurate adaptation and mitigation strategies to combat the impacts of climate change in Africa.
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spelling pubmed-89828862022-04-06 Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa González, Juan B. Sánchez, Alfonso PLoS One Research Article Although Africa is the most vulnerable region to climate change, little research has focused on how climate change is perceived by Africans. Using random forest methodology, we analyze survey and climate data from second-order political boundaries to explore what predicts climate change beliefs in Africa. We include five different dimensions of climate change beliefs: climate change awareness, belief in anthropogenic climate change, risk perception, the need to stop climate change, and self-efficacy. Based on these criteria we identify five key results: (1) climate change in Africa is largely perceived through its negative impacts on agriculture; (2) actual changes in local climate conditions are related to climate change beliefs; (3) authoritarian and intolerant ideologies are associated to less climate change awareness, and a diminished risk perception and belief that it must be stopped; (4) women are less likely to be aware of climate change, and (5) not speaking French, English or Portuguese is linked to a hindered understanding of climate beliefs. Our combined results can help policy makers better understand the need to jointly consider the multilevel complexities of individual beliefs and hydroclimatic data for the development of more accurate adaptation and mitigation strategies to combat the impacts of climate change in Africa. Public Library of Science 2022-04-05 /pmc/articles/PMC8982886/ /pubmed/35381021 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0266387 Text en © 2022 González, Sánchez https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
González, Juan B.
Sánchez, Alfonso
Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title_full Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title_fullStr Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title_full_unstemmed Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title_short Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa
title_sort multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in africa
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8982886/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35381021
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0266387
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