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How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission
SARS-CoV-2 has caused severe respiratory illnesses and deaths since late 2019 and spreads globally. While asymptomatic cases play a crucial role in transmitting COVID-19, they do not contribute to the observed prevalence, which drives behavior change during the pandemic. This study aims to identify...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer International Publishing
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8990284/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11587-022-00691-8 |
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author | Alharbi, Mohammed H. Kribs, Christopher M. |
author_facet | Alharbi, Mohammed H. Kribs, Christopher M. |
author_sort | Alharbi, Mohammed H. |
collection | PubMed |
description | SARS-CoV-2 has caused severe respiratory illnesses and deaths since late 2019 and spreads globally. While asymptomatic cases play a crucial role in transmitting COVID-19, they do not contribute to the observed prevalence, which drives behavior change during the pandemic. This study aims to identify the effect of the proportion of asymptomatic infections on the magnitude of an epidemic under behavior change scenarios by developing a compartmental mathematical model. In this interest, we discuss three different behavior change cases separately: constant behavior change, instantaneous behavior change response to the disease’s perceived prevalence, and piecewise constant behavior change response to government policies. Our results imply that the proportion of asymptomatic infections which maximizes the spread of the epidemic depends on the nature of the dominant force driving behavior changes. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8990284 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer International Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-89902842022-04-11 How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission Alharbi, Mohammed H. Kribs, Christopher M. Ricerche mat Article SARS-CoV-2 has caused severe respiratory illnesses and deaths since late 2019 and spreads globally. While asymptomatic cases play a crucial role in transmitting COVID-19, they do not contribute to the observed prevalence, which drives behavior change during the pandemic. This study aims to identify the effect of the proportion of asymptomatic infections on the magnitude of an epidemic under behavior change scenarios by developing a compartmental mathematical model. In this interest, we discuss three different behavior change cases separately: constant behavior change, instantaneous behavior change response to the disease’s perceived prevalence, and piecewise constant behavior change response to government policies. Our results imply that the proportion of asymptomatic infections which maximizes the spread of the epidemic depends on the nature of the dominant force driving behavior changes. Springer International Publishing 2022-04-08 /pmc/articles/PMC8990284/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11587-022-00691-8 Text en © Università degli Studi di Napoli "Federico II" 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Alharbi, Mohammed H. Kribs, Christopher M. How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title | How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title_full | How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title_fullStr | How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title_full_unstemmed | How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title_short | How the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
title_sort | how the nature of behavior change affects the impact of asymptomatic coronavirus transmission |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8990284/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11587-022-00691-8 |
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