Bioinformatics analysis reveals immune prognostic markers for overall survival of colorectal cancer patients: a novel machine learning survival predictive system

OBJECTIVES: Immune microenvironment was closely related to the occurrence and progression of colorectal cancer (CRC). The objective of the current research was to develop and verify a Machine learning survival predictive system for CRC based on immune gene expression data and machine learning algorithms. METHODS: The current study performed differentially expressed analyses between normal tissues and tumor tissues. Univariate Cox regression was used to screen prognostic markers for CRC. Prognostic immune genes and transcription factors were used to construct an immune-related regulatory network. Three machine learning algorithms were used to create an Machine learning survival predictive system for CRC. Concordance indexes, calibration curves, and Brier scores were used to evaluate the performance of prognostic model. RESULTS: Twenty immune genes (BCL2L12, FKBP10, XKRX, WFS1, TESC, CCR7, SPACA3, LY6G6C, L1CAM, OSM, EXTL1, LY6D, FCRL5, MYEOV, FOXD1, REG3G, HAPLN1, MAOB, TNFSF11, and AMIGO3) were recognized as independent risk factors for CRC. A prognostic nomogram was developed based on the previous immune genes. Concordance indexes were 0.852, 0.778, and 0.818 for 1-, 3- and 5-year survival. This prognostic model could discriminate high risk patients with poor prognosis from low risk patients with favorable prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: The current study identified twenty prognostic immune genes for CRC patients and constructed an immune-related regulatory network. Based on three machine learning algorithms, the current research provided three individual mortality predictive curves. The Machine learning survival predictive system was available at: https://zhangzhiqiao8.shinyapps.io/Artificial_Intelligence_Survival_Prediction_for_CRC_B1005_1/, which was valuable for individualized treatment decision before surgery. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12859-022-04657-3.