Baseline Level and Reduction in PaCO2 are Associated with the Treatment Effect of Long-Term Home Noninvasive Positive Pressure Ventilation in Stable Hypercapnic Patients with COPD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

PURPOSE: The evidence of long-term home noninvasive positive pressure ventilation (LTHNIPPV) in patients with stable hypercapnic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is controversial. In this meta-analysis study, we sought to establish whether a baseline level and reduction in partial pressure of arterial carbon dioxide (PaCO2) were associated with the treatment effect of LTHNIPPV in these patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Six electronic databases were comprehensively searched from January 1980 until June 2020. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing LTHNIPPV with control treatment were included. Two authors independently extracted data, assessed the study quality, and used the GRADE approach to evaluate evidence quality. The main outcome was mortality. RESULTS: Nineteen studies involving 1482 patients (LTHNIPPV, n = 730; control, n = 752) were included. LTHNIPPV significantly reduced mortality (relative risk [RR] = 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61–0.95; p = 0.02; I(2) = 14%), the frequency of hospital admissions, PaCO2, and improved partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) compared to control treatment. LTHNIPPV also relieved dyspnea and improved exercise capacity and health-related quality of life (HRQL) but showed no significant benefit for improving the forced expiratory volume in one second in predicted (FEV1% pred). Subgroup analysis revealed that the baseline level and reduction in PaCO2 were associated with decreased mortality (baseline PaCO2 ≥ 55 mmHg RR = 0.69, P = 0.02; vs baseline PaCO2 < 55 mmHg RR = 0.87, P = 0.32; and higher dPaCO2 RR = 0.42, P < 0.0001; vs lower dPaCO2 RR = 0.91, P = 0.38). CONCLUSION: LTHNIPPV significantly reduced mortality. The baseline level and reduction in PaCO2 were associated with the treatment effect of LTHNIPPV in patients with stable hypercapnic COPD. Large-scale, multicenter RCTs are needed to confirm our results.