Cargando…

Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040

Background: In many Western countries, the state pension age is being raised to stimulate the extension of working lives. It is not yet well understood whether the health of older adults supports this increase. In this study, future health of Dutch adults aged 60 to 68 (i.e., the expected state pens...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: van der Noordt, Maaike, Polder, Johan J., Plasmans, Marjanne H. D., Hilderink, Henk B. M., Deeg, Dorly J. H., van Tilburg, Theo G., van der Pas, Suzan, van der Lucht, Fons
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8998719/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35409891
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19074209
_version_ 1784685010631000064
author van der Noordt, Maaike
Polder, Johan J.
Plasmans, Marjanne H. D.
Hilderink, Henk B. M.
Deeg, Dorly J. H.
van Tilburg, Theo G.
van der Pas, Suzan
van der Lucht, Fons
author_facet van der Noordt, Maaike
Polder, Johan J.
Plasmans, Marjanne H. D.
Hilderink, Henk B. M.
Deeg, Dorly J. H.
van Tilburg, Theo G.
van der Pas, Suzan
van der Lucht, Fons
author_sort van der Noordt, Maaike
collection PubMed
description Background: In many Western countries, the state pension age is being raised to stimulate the extension of working lives. It is not yet well understood whether the health of older adults supports this increase. In this study, future health of Dutch adults aged 60 to 68 (i.e., the expected state pension age) is explored up to 2040. Methods: Data are from the Dutch Health Interview Survey 1990–2017 (N ≈ 10,000 yearly) and the Dutch Public Health Monitor 2016 (N = 205,151). Health is operationalized using combined scores of self-reported health and limitations in mobility, hearing or seeing. Categories are: good, moderate and poor health. Based on historical health trends, two scenarios are explored: a stable health trend (neither improving nor declining) and an improving health trend. Results: In 2040, the health distribution among men aged 60–68 is estimated to be 63–71% in good, 17–28% in moderate and 9–12% in poor health. Among women, this is estimated to be 64–69%, 17–24% and 12–14%, respectively. Conclusions: This study’s explorations suggest that a substantial share of people will be in moderate or poor health and, thus, may have difficulty continuing working. Policy aiming at sustainable employability will, therefore, remain important, even in the case of the most favorable scenario.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8998719
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher MDPI
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-89987192022-04-12 Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040 van der Noordt, Maaike Polder, Johan J. Plasmans, Marjanne H. D. Hilderink, Henk B. M. Deeg, Dorly J. H. van Tilburg, Theo G. van der Pas, Suzan van der Lucht, Fons Int J Environ Res Public Health Article Background: In many Western countries, the state pension age is being raised to stimulate the extension of working lives. It is not yet well understood whether the health of older adults supports this increase. In this study, future health of Dutch adults aged 60 to 68 (i.e., the expected state pension age) is explored up to 2040. Methods: Data are from the Dutch Health Interview Survey 1990–2017 (N ≈ 10,000 yearly) and the Dutch Public Health Monitor 2016 (N = 205,151). Health is operationalized using combined scores of self-reported health and limitations in mobility, hearing or seeing. Categories are: good, moderate and poor health. Based on historical health trends, two scenarios are explored: a stable health trend (neither improving nor declining) and an improving health trend. Results: In 2040, the health distribution among men aged 60–68 is estimated to be 63–71% in good, 17–28% in moderate and 9–12% in poor health. Among women, this is estimated to be 64–69%, 17–24% and 12–14%, respectively. Conclusions: This study’s explorations suggest that a substantial share of people will be in moderate or poor health and, thus, may have difficulty continuing working. Policy aiming at sustainable employability will, therefore, remain important, even in the case of the most favorable scenario. MDPI 2022-04-01 /pmc/articles/PMC8998719/ /pubmed/35409891 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19074209 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
van der Noordt, Maaike
Polder, Johan J.
Plasmans, Marjanne H. D.
Hilderink, Henk B. M.
Deeg, Dorly J. H.
van Tilburg, Theo G.
van der Pas, Suzan
van der Lucht, Fons
Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title_full Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title_fullStr Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title_short Exploring Health Trends Prior to State Pension Age for The Netherlands up to 2040
title_sort exploring health trends prior to state pension age for the netherlands up to 2040
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8998719/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35409891
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19074209
work_keys_str_mv AT vandernoordtmaaike exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT polderjohanj exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT plasmansmarjannehd exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT hilderinkhenkbm exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT deegdorlyjh exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT vantilburgtheog exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT vanderpassuzan exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040
AT vanderluchtfons exploringhealthtrendspriortostatepensionageforthenetherlandsupto2040