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The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?

African swine fever (ASF) is one of the most critical diseases in the pig industry. In Asia, 15 countries have already reported an outbreak as of November 22, 2021. In 2021, China reported the genotype II lower virulent ASF virus (ASFV) and the emergence of genotype I ASFV. ASF is generally known as...

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Autores principales: Ito, Satoshi, Bosch, Jaime, Martínez-Avilés, Marta, Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9001964/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35425825
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.828498
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author Ito, Satoshi
Bosch, Jaime
Martínez-Avilés, Marta
Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel
author_facet Ito, Satoshi
Bosch, Jaime
Martínez-Avilés, Marta
Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel
author_sort Ito, Satoshi
collection PubMed
description African swine fever (ASF) is one of the most critical diseases in the pig industry. In Asia, 15 countries have already reported an outbreak as of November 22, 2021. In 2021, China reported the genotype II lower virulent ASF virus (ASFV) and the emergence of genotype I ASFV. ASF is generally known as a contagious and lethal disease, but if chronic infection spreads, then disease control would be more difficult. In the current study, we highlighted the possibility of lower virulent virus distribution throughout China and the subsequent general risk of the virus being released from the country. The kernel density estimation showed that the two highest kernel density areas of ASF notification were located in Northeast and Midwest China. Four of the five provinces where lower virulent ASFV was isolated overlapped with areas of relatively high ASF notification density. In terms of the risk of ASFV spreading from China, eight of the 10 largest airports and three of the 10 largest seaports are located in areas of relatively high ASF notification density. There were flight flow from China to 67 countries and ship flow to 81 countries. Asia had the highest flight flow, followed by Europe, North America, Africa, and Oceania. The highest number of ship flows was also concentrated in Asia, but about 10% of ships head to Africa and South America. Chinese overseas residents were distributed in each continent in proportion to these results. Here, we highlight the potential risk of ASFV spread from China to the world.
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spelling pubmed-90019642022-04-13 The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat? Ito, Satoshi Bosch, Jaime Martínez-Avilés, Marta Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel Front Vet Sci Veterinary Science African swine fever (ASF) is one of the most critical diseases in the pig industry. In Asia, 15 countries have already reported an outbreak as of November 22, 2021. In 2021, China reported the genotype II lower virulent ASF virus (ASFV) and the emergence of genotype I ASFV. ASF is generally known as a contagious and lethal disease, but if chronic infection spreads, then disease control would be more difficult. In the current study, we highlighted the possibility of lower virulent virus distribution throughout China and the subsequent general risk of the virus being released from the country. The kernel density estimation showed that the two highest kernel density areas of ASF notification were located in Northeast and Midwest China. Four of the five provinces where lower virulent ASFV was isolated overlapped with areas of relatively high ASF notification density. In terms of the risk of ASFV spreading from China, eight of the 10 largest airports and three of the 10 largest seaports are located in areas of relatively high ASF notification density. There were flight flow from China to 67 countries and ship flow to 81 countries. Asia had the highest flight flow, followed by Europe, North America, Africa, and Oceania. The highest number of ship flows was also concentrated in Asia, but about 10% of ships head to Africa and South America. Chinese overseas residents were distributed in each continent in proportion to these results. Here, we highlight the potential risk of ASFV spread from China to the world. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-03-29 /pmc/articles/PMC9001964/ /pubmed/35425825 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.828498 Text en Copyright © 2022 Ito, Bosch, Martínez-Avilés and Sánchez-Vizcaíno. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Veterinary Science
Ito, Satoshi
Bosch, Jaime
Martínez-Avilés, Marta
Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel
The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title_full The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title_fullStr The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title_full_unstemmed The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title_short The Evolution of African Swine Fever in China: A Global Threat?
title_sort evolution of african swine fever in china: a global threat?
topic Veterinary Science
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9001964/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35425825
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.828498
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