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Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics

COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and supe...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Masandawa, Lemjini, Mirau, Silas Steven, Mbalawata, Isambi Sailon, Paul, James Nicodemus, Kreppel, Katharina, Msamba, Oscar M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9021122/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35469342
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.105503
Descripción
Sumario:COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and super-spreaders are sough to be among of the source of these infections. Thus, this study contributes to the subject by formulating a [Formula: see text] mathematical model to gain the insight into nosocomial infection for COVID-19 transmission dynamics. The role of personal protective equipment [Formula: see text] is studied in the proposed model. Benefiting the next generation matrix method, [Formula: see text] was computed. Routh–Hurwitz criterion and stable Metzler matrix theory revealed that COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable whenever [Formula: see text]. Lyapunov function depicted that the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text]. Further, the dynamics behavior of [Formula: see text] was explored when varying [Formula: see text]. In the absence of [Formula: see text] , the value of [Formula: see text] was 8.4584 which implies the expansion of the disease. When [Formula: see text] is introduced in the model, [Formula: see text] was 0.4229, indicating the decrease of the disease in the community. Numerical solutions were simulated by using Runge–Kutta fourth-order method. Global sensitivity analysis is performed to present the most significant parameter. The numerical results illustrated mathematically that personal protective equipment can minimizes nosocomial infections of COVID-19.